Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Empoli Prediction

Como

Home Team
79%
VS

Empoli

Away Team
9%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 29 19 7 3 65 27 38 64
2 Napoli 29 18 7 4 45 23 22 61
3 Atalanta 29 17 7 5 63 28 35 58
4 Bologna 29 14 11 4 49 34 15 53
5 Juventus 29 13 13 3 45 28 17 52
6 Lazio 29 15 6 8 50 41 9 51
7 Roma 29 14 7 8 44 30 14 49
8 Fiorentina 29 14 6 9 46 30 16 48
9 Milan 29 13 8 8 44 33 11 47
10 Udinese 29 11 7 11 35 39 -4 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 34 34 0 38
12 Genoa 29 8 11 10 28 37 -9 35
13 Como 29 7 8 14 35 46 -11 29
14 Verona 29 9 2 18 29 58 -29 29
15 Cagliari 29 6 8 15 28 44 -16 26
16 Lecce 29 6 7 16 21 48 -27 25
17 Parma 29 5 10 14 35 49 -14 25
18 Empoli 29 4 10 15 23 46 -23 22
19 Venezia 29 3 11 15 23 42 -19 20
20 Monza 29 2 9 18 24 49 -25 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.23
# Clean Sheets: 1

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Como and Empoli is tipped in favor of the home side, Como, with a significant 79.0% probability of victory. Positioned 13th in the Serie A standings, Como aims to solidify their mid-table spot with a win against 18th placed Empoli, who are battling against relegation. The match is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of exceeding that mark.

Match Analysis

Como enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results, having lost their last two away games against Milan and Roma, both with a 1-2 scoreline. Their home draw against Venezia provided a brief respite, but overall, they've struggled to secure consistent victories. Despite these results, Como's offense has shown some promise, averaging 1.8 goals over their last five matches. Defensively, they've been slightly porous, conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Empoli, on the other hand, finds themselves in a precarious position near the bottom of the table. Their recent form has been less than encouraging, with two consecutive losses to Torino and Roma, both ending 0-1, and a draw against Genoa. Empoli has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.6 goals in their last five games while conceding an average of 2.4 goals. Their lack of clean sheets further underscores their defensive vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Como appears to have the upper hand in this encounter, primarily due to their superior form and home advantage. Their ability to find the net more consistently than Empoli could prove decisive. A key factor to watch during this match is Como's offensive execution, which, if effective, could be the difference-maker against an Empoli side struggling to keep goals out.