Serie A 2024-2025: Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
17%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
68%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 25 17 5 3 41 19 22 56
2 Inter 25 16 6 3 58 24 34 54
3 Atalanta 25 15 6 4 54 26 28 51
4 Juventus 25 11 13 1 42 21 21 46
5 Lazio 25 14 4 7 47 34 13 46
6 Fiorentina 25 12 6 7 41 27 14 42
7 Milan 24 11 8 5 36 24 12 41
8 Bologna 24 10 11 3 38 29 9 41
9 Roma 25 10 7 8 36 29 7 37
10 Udinese 25 9 6 10 32 37 -5 33
11 Genoa 25 7 9 9 24 33 -9 30
12 Torino 25 6 10 9 27 31 -4 28
13 Como 25 6 7 12 30 40 -10 25
14 Cagliari 25 6 7 12 26 39 -13 25
15 Lecce 25 6 7 12 18 41 -23 25
16 Verona 25 7 2 16 26 54 -28 23
17 Empoli 25 4 9 12 22 38 -16 21
18 Parma 25 4 8 13 30 45 -15 20
19 Venezia 25 3 7 15 22 41 -19 16
20 Monza 25 2 8 15 21 39 -18 14

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 1

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.25
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Juventus is predicted to end in favor of Juventus, with a strong winning probability of 68.00%. Cagliari, on the other hand, holds a much lower chance of victory at 17.00%, while the game stands a 14.00% chance of ending in a draw. Currently, Juventus is positioned 4th in the Serie A standings, vying for a Champions League spot, whereas Cagliari is placed at 14th, aiming to steer clear of the relegation zone. The match is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, highlighting a likely defensive battle.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Cagliari has shown mixed form. They secured a crucial home win against Parma but faltered against Lazio, losing 2-1. Their goalless draw against Atalanta away reflects a commendable defensive effort. Despite averaging 1.4 goals per game recently, Cagliari's defense has been shaky, conceding 1.6 goals on average. The team has managed only one clean sheet in their last five outings, underscoring defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Juventus comes into this fixture on a high note, riding a three-game winning streak. They displayed resilience and a solid defensive front, notably shutting out Inter with a 1-0 victory. The team has been consistent in scoring, averaging 1.4 goals per game, similar to Cagliari. However, their defense is slightly sturdier, conceding 1.2 goals on average. With two clean sheets in their last five matches, Juventus has demonstrated a well-rounded approach that could be pivotal in this encounter.

Final Prediction

Juventus is favored to win due to their recent strong form and defensive solidity, which gives them an edge over Cagliari. A key factor to watch during the game will be Juventus’s ability to maintain their defensive discipline and capitalize on scoring opportunities, which could be the defining aspect of their success in this fixture.