Serie A 2024-2025: Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction

Cagliari

Home Team
36%
VS

Genoa

Away Team
39%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 33 55
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 24 52
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 14 50
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 12 43
9 Milan 27 11 8 8 39 30 9 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 27 8 2 17 27 56 -29 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14

Recent Trends

Cagliari ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 2)

Genoa ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.77
# Clean Sheets: 1

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.02
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa is expected to be closely contested, with a slight edge given to Genoa, who have a 39% chance of securing a victory. Cagliari, on the other hand, has a 36% chance of winning, while a draw seems less likely at 25%. The game is anticipated to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 47% likelihood. Currently, Genoa is positioned at 12th in the league standings, while Cagliari is fighting to avoid relegation at 15th.

Match Analysis

Cagliari's recent form has been less than stellar, having lost two of their last three matches. They suffered narrow defeats against Bologna and Juventus, with a solitary point coming from a goalless draw away at Atalanta. Offensively, Cagliari has averaged 1.4 goals per game over their last five encounters, but they have been vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.6 goals on average. Their recent performances show a struggle to find the back of the net consistently, despite having an expected goals (xG) average of 1.444. Genoa, meanwhile, has experienced a mixed bag of results, with a recent draw against Empoli and a loss against top-tier Inter. However, they secured a vital victory over Venezia, showcasing their ability to capitalize on opportunities against lower-ranked teams. Genoa's scoring has been less prolific, with an average of 0.6 goals per game in recent outings, but they have managed to maintain a slightly better defensive record compared to Cagliari, conceding 1.4 goals on average. Their expected goals conceded (xGC) is notably low at 1.02, suggesting a more robust defensive setup.

Final Prediction

Genoa might hold a slight advantage in this encounter due to their slightly better defensive record and recent victory against Venezia, which could boost their confidence. A key factor to watch in this matchup will be Genoa's ability to maintain their defensive discipline, potentially stifling Cagliari's attack and tipping the balance in their favor. Fans should keep an eye on how both teams navigate their defensive and offensive strategies in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.