Serie A 2024-2025: Bologna vs Napoli Prediction
Bologna
Home Team
45%
VS
Napoli
Away Team
30%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 67 | 28 | 39 | 67 |
| 2 | Napoli | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 64 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Bologna | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | Juventus | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 55 |
| 6 | Roma | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Lazio | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 51 |
| 9 | Milan | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Udinese | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Torino | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Genoa | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 14 | Verona | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 30 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 16 | Parma | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
| 17 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | Empoli | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 23 |
| 19 | Venezia | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 20 |
| 20 | Monza | 30 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.03
# Clean Sheets:
2
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.69
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Bologna and Napoli is expected to be closely contested, with Bologna having a 45% chance of winning at home compared to Napoli's 30% chance of an away victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 26%. Despite Napoli's higher league position, sitting in second place compared to Bologna's fourth, the prediction favors Bologna. The game is also expected to be low-scoring, with a probability of under 2.5 goals being 52%.
Match Analysis
Bologna is in fine form, riding a three-game winning streak with victories over Venezia, Lazio, and Verona. Their recent performances have been bolstered by strong defensive displays, as evidenced by their two clean sheets in the last three matches and an impressive five-goal haul against Lazio. Bologna's offensive prowess is highlighted by their average of 2.8 goals scored per game in their last five outings, surpassing their expected goals of 2.514.
Napoli, on the other hand, has shown resilience with two wins and a draw in their last three games, including a notable victory against Milan. However, their scoring rate has been more modest, with an average of 1.4 goals per game, aligning closely with their expected goals of 0.912. Their defense has been relatively sturdy, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, but they have managed only one clean sheet in their last five matches. These metrics suggest that Napoli may need to tighten up defensively to counter Bologna's attacking threats.
Final Prediction
Bologna's strong recent form gives them the edge in this matchup, especially considering their superior goal-scoring record. Their ability to maintain defensive stability while posing a significant threat going forward makes them a formidable opponent for Napoli. Keep an eye on Bologna's attacking unit, which has been in exceptional form, as they could be the decisive factor in securing a home victory.