Serie A 2024-2025: Bologna vs Milan Prediction
Bologna
Home Team
36%
VS
Milan
Away Team
40%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 57 |
| 2 | Napoli | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 54 |
| 4 | Juventus | 26 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 49 |
| 5 | Lazio | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Milan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Bologna | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 41 |
| 9 | Roma | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 40 |
| 10 | Udinese | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 36 |
| 11 | Torino | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Genoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 | Como | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Verona | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Parma | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 23 |
| 18 | Empoli | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 21 |
| 19 | Venezia | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 17 |
| 20 | Monza | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 3 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.02
# Clean Sheets:
2
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.02
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Bologna and Milan is predicted to be a closely contested battle, with a slight edge given to Milan, who have a 40.0% chance of clinching victory. Bologna, the home side, have a 36.0% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw is 24.0%. Currently, Milan sits at 7th in the Serie A standings, closely followed by Bologna in 8th place. The match is also anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 55.0% probability of exceeding 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown mixed form in their recent outings. Bologna has experienced a mixed bag of results: a home win against Torino (3-2), a goalless draw away at Lecce, and a 2-0 loss to Parma. Their ability to score goals, averaging 2.4 over the last five matches, coupled with a decent defensive record of two clean sheets, suggests they have the potential to challenge Milan effectively.
Milan, on the other hand, has shown resilience with two wins in their last three matches, including a 1-0 victory over Verona and a 2-0 away win at Empoli. However, they did stumble in a 2-1 loss to Torino. Milan's recent performances indicate a solid defensive setup, allowing just one goal on average in their last five outings, and they also secured two clean sheets. The Rossoneri have demonstrated a slightly lower scoring average of 1.2 goals per match, but their expected goals tally of 1.618 suggests potential for more.
Final Prediction
Milan is favored to claim victory thanks to their recent defensive stability and slightly superior league position. A key factor to watch will be Milan's ability to capitalize on their expected goals, which could be crucial in swinging the match in their favor. Fans should keep an eye on how Bologna's offensive capabilities match up against Milan's defense, as this could be the deciding factor in an engaging contest.