Serie A 2024-2025: Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

Bologna

Home Team
42%
VS

Lazio

Away Team
31%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Bologna ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 2)

Lazio ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 5 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.99
# Clean Sheets: 0

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Bologna is predicted to secure a victory over Lazio with a probability of 42.0%. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is 57.0%, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair. Currently, Bologna sits 6th, just one point behind Lazio who are in 5th place, in the Serie A standings.

Match Analysis

Both teams have shown competitive form in their recent matches. Bologna enters this fixture riding a wave of three consecutive 2-1 victories against Verona, Cagliari, and Milan, showcasing their ability to consistently score while maintaining a tight defense. Their performance indicates a strong attacking momentum, with an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last five matches, supported by a similar expected goals metric of 2.412. However, they have yet to achieve a clean sheet in their recent outings, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. Lazio, on the other hand, has experienced a mixed bag of results. They drew against Udinese and Venezia, with their sole recent victory being a commendable 2-1 win over Milan. Lazio's defensive strength is evident, conceding only 0.8 goals on average in their last five games, and they managed a clean sheet against Venezia. Offensively, they have been less prolific, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, slightly below their expected goals of 1.712. This suggests that while their defense is robust, their attack may need to be more clinical.

Final Prediction

Bologna's current form and attacking prowess give them a slight edge going into this match. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net could prove decisive against a Lazio side that has been defensively solid but less effective in front of goal. A key factor to watch will be Bologna's attacking players and whether they can maintain their scoring streak against a disciplined Lazio defense.