Serie A 2024-2025: Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction

Atalanta

Home Team
98%
VS

Venezia

Away Team
1%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 17 6 3 59 24 35 57
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 42 21 21 56
3 Atalanta 26 16 6 4 59 26 33 54
4 Juventus 26 12 13 1 43 21 22 49
5 Lazio 26 14 5 7 47 34 13 47
6 Bologna 26 11 11 4 40 32 8 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 6 8 41 28 13 42
8 Milan 26 11 8 7 38 28 10 41
9 Roma 26 11 7 8 40 29 11 40
10 Udinese 26 10 6 10 33 37 -4 36
11 Torino 26 7 10 9 29 32 -3 31
12 Genoa 26 7 9 10 24 34 -10 30
13 Como 26 7 7 12 32 41 -9 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 27 54 -27 26
15 Cagliari 26 6 7 13 26 40 -14 25
16 Lecce 26 6 7 13 18 42 -24 25
17 Parma 26 5 8 13 32 45 -13 23
18 Empoli 26 4 9 13 22 43 -21 21
19 Venezia 26 3 8 15 22 41 -19 17
20 Monza 26 2 8 16 21 43 -22 14

Recent Trends

Atalanta ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)

Venezia ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 3

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.78
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Atalanta and Venezia is heavily skewed in favor of Atalanta, with a staggering 98% probability of a home victory. Meanwhile, the chances for Venezia to clinch a win stand at a mere 1%, with the same low probability for a draw. Atalanta, currently in 3rd place on the Serie A table, is well-positioned to secure the three points, while Venezia languishes in 19th place, battling to avoid relegation. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 47% probability suggesting a low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Atalanta's recent form shows they are in a strong position, boasting an unbeaten streak in their last three games. They secured emphatic victories against Empoli and Verona, both with a 5-0 scoreline, while holding Cagliari to a goalless draw at home. Their defense has been robust, with three clean sheets in these matches, which could prove crucial against a struggling Venezia side. Conversely, Venezia is grappling with a challenging period. They have failed to score in their last three matches, resulting in a draw against Lazio and losses to Genoa and Roma. Their inability to find the back of the net, combined with a leaky defense that has conceded three goals in these games, underscores their struggles. Advanced metrics also highlight Venezia's weaker side, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match and only one clean sheet in their recent outings. Atalanta's higher expected goals (xG) and more robust defense further tip the scales in their favor.

Final Prediction

Atalanta holds a significant edge in this matchup due to their superior form and defensive prowess. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities presents a formidable challenge for Venezia. A key factor to watch will be Atalanta's attacking efficiency against a Venezia defense that has struggled to contain opponents. The game promises to be a test of Venezia's resilience as they fight to climb out of the relegation zone.