Serie A 2024-2025: Atalanta vs Inter Prediction

Atalanta

Home Team
35%
VS

Inter

Away Team
43%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Atalanta ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 5 - 0)

Inter ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 5

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Inter Milan is predicted to have a slight edge over Atalanta with a 43.0% probability of winning the upcoming clash. The probability of Atalanta securing a victory stands at 35.0%, while a draw is the least likely outcome at 22.0%. The high likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals, at 61.0%, suggests an entertaining affair. Inter currently leads Serie A, holding the first position with 61 points, while Atalanta is closely behind in third place with 58 points.

Match Analysis

Atalanta enters this fixture following a strong run of form, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three outings. Notably, they have managed to keep clean sheets in all these matches, showcasing a solid defensive setup. Their recent 5-0 thrashing of Empoli and a convincing 4-0 win against Juventus, both away from home, highlight their attacking prowess. Although their average goals scored in the last five games is 0.8, their expected goals stand at a promising 1.892, indicating potential for more offensive output. Inter, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience with two wins and a draw in their last three matches. A close-fought victory over Monza and a stalemate against Napoli underline their competitive spirit. Inter's scoring and conceding averages align at 1.2 goals per game over the last five matches, pointing to a balanced team performance. Their expected goals of 1.538 suggest they could be a threat in the attacking third.

Final Prediction

Inter's position at the top of the Serie A table gives them a slight advantage heading into this encounter. Their ability to grind out results, coupled with their offensive capabilities, positions them as favorites. A key factor to watch in this match will be Atalanta's defensive resilience against Inter’s attacking threats, as both teams are known for their goal-scoring potential. Football fans can expect an entertaining match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.