Serie A 2024-2025: Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Atalanta

Home Team
60%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Recent Trends

Atalanta ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)

Bologna ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lazio (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.78
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.01
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Atalanta and Bologna is predicted to favor the home team, Atalanta, with a 60% probability of winning. The likelihood of a Bologna victory stands at 20%, while a draw is slightly more probable at 21%. Currently sitting in 3rd place, Atalanta is poised to maintain their Champions League spot, while Bologna is closely trailing in 4th place. The game is anticipated to yield more than 2.5 goals, with a 52% chance, suggesting an exciting, high-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Atalanta comes into this match after a challenging period, having lost their last three games without scoring a single goal against Lazio, Fiorentina, and Inter. These results highlight a concerning scoring drought, despite their average expected goals being 1.778 over the past five matches. Defensively, they have been slightly more stable, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets in their last five outings. On the other hand, Bologna has shown resilience and form with a more positive recent performance. They secured a strong 5-0 victory against Lazio and a win over Venezia, alongside a commendable draw against Napoli. Bologna's recent uptick is mirrored in their scoring, averaging 0.8 goals per game while maintaining a similar defensive solidity to Atalanta, also conceding 0.8 goals per game and achieving two clean sheets in the last five matches.

Final Prediction

Atalanta's home advantage and their higher league standing may give them the edge in this encounter. Despite recent struggles in front of goal, their ability to generate scoring opportunities, as indicated by their expected goals metric, could be pivotal. A key factor to watch will be whether Atalanta can break their goal-scoring drought, which could prove decisive in securing a much-needed win to solidify their Champions League aspirations.