Premier League 2024-2025: Wolves vs West Ham Prediction

Wolves

Home Team
51%
VS

West Ham

Away Team
25%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Recent Trends

Wolves ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)

West Ham ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.40
# Clean Sheets: 1

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Wolves and West Ham promises to be an intriguing encounter, with a predicted result favoring a home victory for Wolves at a probability of 51.0%. The likelihood of the game ending in a draw or an away win for West Ham both stand at 25.0%. Moreover, the match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, given the probability of over 2.5 goals is just 49.0%. In the Premier League standings, Wolves find themselves in a precarious 17th position, battling against relegation, while West Ham sit slightly higher in 16th place.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Wolves have shown a mixed bag of results. They secured a narrow away victory against Southampton, drew at home against Everton, and suffered a home defeat to Fulham. Wolves have struggled offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per game over their last five matches, although they have maintained a fairly consistent defensive record with 1.4 goals conceded on average. Their expected goals metric suggests they have the potential to score more, averaging 1.23 expected goals. West Ham, meanwhile, have also experienced a rollercoaster in their recent fixtures. They managed a draw against Everton, lost narrowly to Newcastle, and claimed a home victory over Leicester. West Ham have shown slightly better attacking prowess than Wolves, averaging 1.0 goals scored per game, but they’ve also been vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.6 goals on average. Their expected goals data suggests a similar attacking output, with 1.19 expected goals.

Final Prediction

Wolves' edge in this matchup can be attributed to their ability to secure crucial points in their recent games, especially their away win against Southampton. West Ham, despite their superior goal-scoring record, have shown defensive vulnerabilities which Wolves could exploit. A key factor to watch during the game will be Wolves’ ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be the decisive element in clinching the victory.