Premier League 2024-2025: Wolves vs Leicester Prediction

Wolves

Home Team
86%
VS

Leicester

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 33 24 7 2 75 31 44 79
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
4 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
5 Newcastle 33 18 5 10 62 44 18 59
6 Chelsea 33 16 9 8 58 40 18 57
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Bournemouth 33 13 10 10 52 40 12 49
9 Fulham 33 13 9 11 48 45 3 48
10 Brighton 33 12 12 9 53 53 0 48
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Everton 33 8 14 11 34 40 -6 38
14 Man United 33 10 8 15 38 46 -8 38
15 Wolves 33 11 5 17 48 61 -13 38
16 Tottenham 33 11 4 18 61 51 10 37
17 West Ham 33 9 9 15 37 55 -18 36
18 Ipswich 33 4 9 20 33 71 -38 21
19 Leicester 33 4 6 23 27 73 -46 18
20 Southampton 33 2 5 26 24 78 -54 11

Recent Trends

Wolves ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 2 - 1)

Leicester ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 2

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.47
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Wolves and Leicester is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, with Wolves holding an 86.0% probability of securing a victory. The odds of Leicester winning are a mere 6.0%, while a draw stands at 8.0%. Given these statistics, Wolves are predicted to emerge victorious. Furthermore, the likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals is 44.0%, suggesting a more conservative under 2.5 goals outcome. Currently, Wolves sit at 15th in the Premier League standings, while Leicester languishes in 19th place, fighting against relegation.

Match Analysis

Wolves have been on an impressive run in their last three outings, achieving consecutive victories against Man United (1-0), Tottenham (4-2), and Ipswich (2-1). This streak indicates a strong defensive discipline and an effective attacking front. Wolves' average goals scored in the last five matches is 1.8, and they have achieved two clean sheets, showcasing their defensive solidity. Conversely, Leicester's recent performances have left much to be desired. They suffered defeats against Liverpool (1-0) and Newcastle (3-0) and managed a draw against Brighton (2-2). With an average of only 0.4 goals scored in their last five games and no clean sheets, Leicester’s defensive frailties and attacking inefficiencies are evident. Their expected goals scored and conceded metrics further underline these struggles, with Leicester at a disadvantage in both areas compared to Wolves.

Final Prediction

Wolves are the favorites to win this clash, primarily due to their recent form and Leicester's ongoing struggles. The key factor in Wolves' favor is their solid defensive performance, which has been pivotal in their latest victories. A point of interest during the game will be whether Wolves can maintain their defensive resilience against a Leicester side desperate for points to avoid relegation.