Premier League 2024-2025: Wolves vs Everton Prediction

Wolves

Home Team
38%
VS

Everton

Away Team
35%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 28 20 7 1 66 26 40 67
2 Arsenal 27 15 9 3 51 23 28 54
3 Nott'm Forest 27 14 6 7 44 33 11 48
4 Man City 27 14 5 8 53 37 16 47
5 Chelsea 27 13 7 7 52 36 16 46
6 Newcastle 27 13 5 9 46 38 8 44
7 Bournemouth 27 12 7 8 45 32 13 43
8 Brighton 27 11 10 6 44 39 5 43
9 Fulham 27 11 9 7 40 36 4 42
10 Aston Villa 28 11 9 8 40 45 -5 42
11 Brentford 27 11 5 11 48 43 5 38
12 Crystal Palace 27 9 9 9 35 33 2 36
13 Tottenham 27 10 3 14 53 39 14 33
14 Man United 27 9 6 12 33 39 -6 33
15 West Ham 27 9 6 12 32 47 -15 33
16 Everton 27 7 11 9 30 34 -4 32
17 Wolves 27 6 4 17 37 56 -19 22
18 Ipswich 27 3 8 16 26 57 -31 17
19 Leicester 27 4 5 18 25 61 -36 17
20 Southampton 27 2 3 22 19 65 -46 9

Recent Trends

Wolves ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)

Everton ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.20
# Clean Sheets: 2

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.89
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Wolves and Everton is set to be an intriguing encounter, with Wolves slightly favored to secure a victory, holding a 38.0% probability of winning. Everton is not far behind with a 35.0% chance, and a draw sits at a 27.0% likelihood. The game is anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 51.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Currently, Everton sits in 16th place in the Premier League standings, while Wolves languish at 17th as they fight to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Wolves' recent performances have shown a mixed bag of results, with a noteworthy victory against Bournemouth but losses to Fulham and Liverpool. Their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last five outings. However, Wolves have demonstrated a potential for resilience with two clean sheets in this period. Their expected goals metrics slightly favor them with 1.234 expected goals scored per game, indicating an ability to create chances. Everton, on the other hand, has managed to remain unbeaten in their last three matches, drawing against Brentford and Manchester United while securing a narrow win over Crystal Palace. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding just 0.8 goals on average in their last five matches. Despite this, their expected goals conceded is notably higher at 1.886, suggesting potential weaknesses at the back. Everton's attack has been consistent, matching Wolves with an average of 1.0 goals per game in the same period.

Final Prediction

Wolves' slight edge in predicted victory may stem from their slightly better ability to convert expected goals into actual goals, coupled with the recent clean sheets that hint at defensive improvements. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Wolves can exploit Everton's defensive vulnerabilities, as indicated by their expected goals conceded. With both teams keen to secure points in their battle against relegation, fans can anticipate a closely contested and potentially high-scoring affair.