Premier League 2024-2025: West Ham vs Southampton Prediction

West Ham

Home Team
81%
VS

Southampton

Away Team
8%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 21 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Recent Trends

West Ham ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 1)

Southampton ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.49
# Clean Sheets: 0

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.99
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between West Ham and Southampton heavily favors the home team, with a predicted 81.0% probability of victory for West Ham. A draw holds an 11.0% chance, while Southampton's likelihood of an upset is a mere 8.0%. The game is expected to be tight in terms of scoring, with an under 2.5 goals prediction. Currently, West Ham sits at 17th in the Premier League, teetering above the relegation zone, while Southampton languishes at the bottom of the table in 20th place.

Match Analysis

West Ham enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results, having lost two and drawn one of their last three matches. Their recent performances include a narrow away defeat to Liverpool, a home draw against Bournemouth, and a loss away to Wolves. This inconsistency is mirrored in their advanced metrics, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. However, they have struggled to keep clean sheets, failing to do so in their recent outings. On the other hand, Southampton's recent form has been even more troubling. With back-to-back losses against Aston Villa and Tottenham, and a solitary draw against Crystal Palace, they have been unable to secure a win. Southampton's defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game over their last five matches. Offensively, they have managed to score slightly more than West Ham, with an average of 1.2 goals per game, but their defensive vulnerability is a significant concern.

Final Prediction

West Ham's edge in this encounter is largely due to Southampton's poor defensive record and their superior standing in the league. The home advantage also plays a crucial role in favor of West Ham. A key factor to watch will be West Ham's ability to capitalize on Southampton's defensive lapses, an area where Southampton has consistently struggled this season.