Premier League 2024-2025: West Ham vs Newcastle Prediction

West Ham

Home Team
18%
VS

Newcastle

Away Team
67%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 28 20 7 1 66 26 40 67
2 Arsenal 27 15 9 3 51 23 28 54
3 Nott'm Forest 27 14 6 7 44 33 11 48
4 Man City 27 14 5 8 53 37 16 47
5 Chelsea 27 13 7 7 52 36 16 46
6 Newcastle 27 13 5 9 46 38 8 44
7 Bournemouth 27 12 7 8 45 32 13 43
8 Brighton 27 11 10 6 44 39 5 43
9 Fulham 27 11 9 7 40 36 4 42
10 Aston Villa 28 11 9 8 40 45 -5 42
11 Brentford 27 11 5 11 48 43 5 38
12 Crystal Palace 27 9 9 9 35 33 2 36
13 Tottenham 27 10 3 14 53 39 14 33
14 Man United 27 9 6 12 33 39 -6 33
15 West Ham 27 9 6 12 32 47 -15 33
16 Everton 27 7 11 9 30 34 -4 32
17 Wolves 27 6 4 17 37 56 -19 22
18 Ipswich 27 3 8 16 26 57 -31 17
19 Leicester 27 4 5 18 25 61 -36 17
20 Southampton 27 2 3 22 19 65 -46 9

Recent Trends

West Ham ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 1)

Newcastle ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.00
# Clean Sheets: 2

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.27
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between West Ham and Newcastle is predicted to favor the visitors, with Newcastle holding a commanding 67.0% probability of victory. The match is expected to have less than 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% chance of this outcome. Currently, Newcastle sits in 6th place in the Premier League standings, while West Ham finds themselves in 15th position, looking to climb the table.

Match Analysis

West Ham has shown mixed form in their last three matches. They managed to secure victories against Leicester and Arsenal, both with clean sheets, demonstrating their potential resilience at the back. However, their home defeat to Brentford suggests inconsistency, particularly in their attacking department. West Ham's average goals scored per game in recent matches stands at 1.0, with an average concession of 2.0 goals, highlighting vulnerabilities in their defense. On the other hand, Newcastle's recent performances have been a tale of highs and lows. A thrilling 4-3 victory over Nott'm Forest showcased their attacking prowess, yet they struggled against Liverpool and Manchester City, failing to score in both encounters. Newcastle's average goals scored in their last five outings is 1.4, while their defense has conceded 1.6 goals per game on average. Despite their attacking potential, their defense has yet to register a clean sheet in recent fixtures.

Final Prediction

Newcastle's higher league standing and recent goal-scoring form provide them with a clear edge over West Ham. With a significant 67.0% probability of winning, they will aim to capitalize on West Ham's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch is how effectively Newcastle can break down West Ham's defense, particularly given their inability to keep clean sheets in recent matches. This attacking impetus could be crucial in determining the outcome of the game.