Premier League 2024-2025: West Ham vs Leicester Prediction

West Ham

Home Team
70%
VS

Leicester

Away Team
14%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 27 19 7 1 64 26 38 64
2 Arsenal 26 15 8 3 51 23 28 53
3 Nott'm Forest 26 14 5 7 44 33 11 47
4 Man City 26 13 5 8 52 37 15 44
5 Newcastle 26 13 5 8 46 36 10 44
6 Bournemouth 26 12 7 7 44 30 14 43
7 Chelsea 26 12 7 7 48 36 12 43
8 Aston Villa 27 11 9 7 39 41 -2 42
9 Brighton 26 10 10 6 42 38 4 40
10 Fulham 26 10 9 7 38 35 3 39
11 Brentford 26 11 4 11 47 42 5 37
12 Tottenham 26 10 3 13 53 38 15 33
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 9 9 31 32 -1 33
14 Everton 26 7 10 9 29 33 -4 31
15 Man United 26 8 6 12 30 37 -7 30
16 West Ham 26 8 6 12 30 47 -17 30
17 Wolves 26 6 4 16 36 54 -18 22
18 Ipswich 26 3 8 15 24 54 -30 17
19 Leicester 26 4 5 17 25 59 -34 17
20 Southampton 26 2 3 21 19 61 -42 9

Recent Trends

West Ham ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)

Leicester ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.21
# Clean Sheets: 1

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.52
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between West Ham and Leicester is expected to favor the home team, West Ham, with a significant 70% probability of victory. The match is predicted to result in a West Ham win and is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, given the 42% probability for over 2.5 goals. In the Premier League standings, West Ham currently sits at 16th place, while Leicester is languishing in 19th position, battling relegation concerns.

Match Analysis

West Ham comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of performances over their last three matches. They achieved an impressive away victory against Arsenal, winning 1-0, which stands out as a highlight. However, this was sandwiched between two defeats — a narrow 1-0 loss to Brentford at home and a 2-1 defeat against Chelsea on the road. Key metrics indicate that West Ham has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, while conceding an average of 2.2 goals. Despite these challenges, they managed to secure one clean sheet recently, indicating some defensive potential. Leicester, on the other hand, is in a dire situation, having lost their last three matches without scoring a single goal. Their recent losses include a heavy 4-0 defeat at home to Brentford and a 2-0 loss to Arsenal. The team has been porous defensively, conceding an average of 2.8 goals over the last five games, with no clean sheets to their name. Leicester's offensive struggles are also apparent, with an average of only 0.8 goals scored in the same period, highlighting their ongoing issues in both attack and defense.

Final Prediction

West Ham's potential edge in this game is primarily due to Leicester's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities. Despite West Ham's own inconsistencies, their recent win against a strong Arsenal side suggests they have the ability to capitalize on Leicester's weaknesses. A key factor to watch during the match will be West Ham's ability to maintain defensive solidity while exploiting Leicester's fragile defense. Fans can expect a tightly contested match where West Ham's attacking initiatives might just make the difference.