Premier League 2024-2025: Tottenham vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Tottenham

Home Team
69%
VS

Nott'm Forest

Away Team
15%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 21 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 0

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.33
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Tottenham and Nott'm Forest is predicted to favor the home side, with a 69.0% probability of a Tottenham victory. Meanwhile, the chances of Nott'm Forest securing an away win stand at 15.0%, with a 16.0% likelihood of a draw. The game is expected to be an attacking spectacle, with a 57.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Nott'm Forest is in a strong position at 4th place in the Premier League, vying for a Champions League spot, while Tottenham sits in 15th, looking to climb away from the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Tottenham's recent form has been inconsistent, with their last three matches resulting in two defeats and one victory. They suffered a 2-4 loss against Wolves and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Chelsea, both away from home, but managed a 3-1 triumph over Southampton in a home encounter. Their average goals scored in the last five games stand at 1.4, which, coupled with an average of 1.2 goals conceded, highlights their vulnerability at the back. However, with 1.704 expected goals, Tottenham shows potential for more attacking output than recent results suggest. Nott'm Forest, on the other hand, have also experienced mixed fortunes, with a recent victory over Manchester United (1-0) being a highlight, despite losses to Everton (0-1) and Aston Villa (1-2). Their average goals scored is slightly higher at 1.8, but a concerning average of 3.0 goals conceded per game indicates defensive frailties. Their expected goals conceded of 2.33 further emphasize their defensive struggles, despite maintaining two clean sheets in recent fixtures.

Final Prediction

Tottenham's predicted edge comes from their home advantage and a higher likelihood of converting chances, as suggested by their xG metrics. Nott'm Forest's leaky defense could prove costly against a Tottenham side eager to find scoring form. A key factor to watch will be Tottenham's ability to exploit Nott'm Forest's defensive lapses, potentially setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.