Premier League 2024-2025: Tottenham vs Nott'm Forest Prediction
Tottenham
Home Team
69%
VS
Nott'm Forest
Away Team
15%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Current Standings
Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 76 |
2 | Arsenal | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 63 |
3 | Newcastle | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Nott'm Forest | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 57 |
5 | Man City | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
6 | Chelsea | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 54 |
7 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 54 |
8 | Bournemouth | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 48 |
9 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Brighton | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 48 |
11 | Brentford | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
13 | Everton | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Man United | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Tottenham | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 37 |
16 | Wolves | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 35 |
17 | West Ham | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 35 |
18 | Ipswich | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
19 | Leicester | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 77 | -54 | 10 |
Recent Trends
Tottenham
- Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
Nott'm Forest
- Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ipswich (Goals: 4 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Tottenham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.65
# Clean Sheets:
0
Nott'm Forest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.33
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Tottenham and Nott'm Forest is predicted to favor the home side, with a 69.0% probability of a Tottenham victory. Meanwhile, the chances of Nott'm Forest securing an away win stand at 15.0%, with a 16.0% likelihood of a draw. The game is expected to be an attacking spectacle, with a 57.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Nott'm Forest is in a strong position at 4th place in the Premier League, vying for a Champions League spot, while Tottenham sits in 15th, looking to climb away from the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Tottenham's recent form has been inconsistent, with their last three matches resulting in two defeats and one victory. They suffered a 2-4 loss against Wolves and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Chelsea, both away from home, but managed a 3-1 triumph over Southampton in a home encounter. Their average goals scored in the last five games stand at 1.4, which, coupled with an average of 1.2 goals conceded, highlights their vulnerability at the back. However, with 1.704 expected goals, Tottenham shows potential for more attacking output than recent results suggest.
Nott'm Forest, on the other hand, have also experienced mixed fortunes, with a recent victory over Manchester United (1-0) being a highlight, despite losses to Everton (0-1) and Aston Villa (1-2). Their average goals scored is slightly higher at 1.8, but a concerning average of 3.0 goals conceded per game indicates defensive frailties. Their expected goals conceded of 2.33 further emphasize their defensive struggles, despite maintaining two clean sheets in recent fixtures.
Final Prediction
Tottenham's predicted edge comes from their home advantage and a higher likelihood of converting chances, as suggested by their xG metrics. Nott'm Forest's leaky defense could prove costly against a Tottenham side eager to find scoring form. A key factor to watch will be Tottenham's ability to exploit Nott'm Forest's defensive lapses, potentially setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.