Premier League 2024-2025: Southampton vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Southampton

Home Team
3%
VS

Crystal Palace

Away Team
93%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Recent Trends

Southampton ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 3)

Crystal Palace ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 3.28
# Clean Sheets: 0

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.05
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Southampton and Crystal Palace is predicted to lean heavily in favor of the away team, Crystal Palace, with a staggering 93.0% probability of victory. Conversely, Southampton's chances of securing a win are slim at just 3.0%. The likelihood of the match resulting in a draw stands at 4.0%. With Crystal Palace sitting comfortably in 12th position and Southampton languishing at the bottom of the Premier League table in 20th position, the odds are clearly stacked against the home team. Additionally, there is a 57.0% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals scored.

Match Analysis

Southampton's recent performances have been dismal, with the team enduring a three-game losing streak. Their recent outings included a home defeat to Wolves (1-2) and away losses to Liverpool (1-3) and Chelsea (0-4). These results highlight a worrying trend of defensive frailties, as Southampton has conceded an average of 3.4 goals per game in their last five matches, without managing a single clean sheet. Their offensive struggles are evident as well, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game during the same period. In contrast, Crystal Palace comes into the game on a high, having won their last three matches. Their victories over Ipswich (1-0), Aston Villa (4-1), and Fulham (2-0) showcase their defensive solidity and attacking prowess. Crystal Palace boasts an impressive record of three clean sheets in their last five outings, conceding no goals on average. Meanwhile, they have been productive in front of goal, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, with expected goals figures reflecting their strong offensive capabilities.

Final Prediction

The overwhelming prediction in favor of Crystal Palace is supported by their superior form and solid defensive record compared to Southampton's struggles. Crystal Palace's ability to keep clean sheets, coupled with Southampton's defensive vulnerabilities, gives the visitors a clear edge. Fans should keep an eye on Crystal Palace's attacking threats, as their recent goal-scoring form could play a pivotal role in securing another victory.