Premier League 2024-2025: Newcastle vs Ipswich Prediction

Newcastle

Home Team
95%
VS

Ipswich

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 33 24 7 2 75 31 44 79
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
4 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
5 Newcastle 33 18 5 10 62 44 18 59
6 Chelsea 33 16 9 8 58 40 18 57
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Bournemouth 33 13 10 10 52 40 12 49
9 Fulham 33 13 9 11 48 45 3 48
10 Brighton 33 12 12 9 53 53 0 48
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Everton 33 8 14 11 34 40 -6 38
14 Man United 33 10 8 15 38 46 -8 38
15 Wolves 33 11 5 17 48 61 -13 38
16 Tottenham 33 11 4 18 61 51 10 37
17 West Ham 33 9 9 15 37 55 -18 36
18 Ipswich 33 4 9 20 33 71 -38 21
19 Leicester 33 4 6 23 27 73 -46 18
20 Southampton 33 2 5 26 24 78 -54 11

Recent Trends

Newcastle ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 1)

Ipswich ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.47
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Newcastle and Ipswich, Newcastle is heavily favored to secure a victory with a staggering 95% probability. The likelihood of a draw is minimal at 3%, and Ipswich's chances of pulling off an upset stand at just 2%. As Newcastle currently sits 5th in the Premier League standings, they are in striking distance of the top four, while Ipswich languishes in 18th place, fighting against relegation. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Newcastle's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with two emphatic home victories against Crystal Palace and Manchester United, scoring a combined total of nine goals, offset by a heavy away defeat to Aston Villa. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 3.2 goals scored in their last five games, coupled with a respectable defensive record of two clean sheets. However, they are conceding an average of 1.4 goals, which suggests potential vulnerabilities at the back. Conversely, Ipswich's recent form shows a team struggling at the wrong end of the table. A heavy home defeat to Arsenal and a narrow loss to Wolves bookend a hard-fought draw against Chelsea. Their average of 1.4 goals scored over the last five matches is overshadowed by 1.6 goals conceded, indicating defensive frailties. Ipswich has failed to keep a clean sheet in their past five matches, which could be a critical factor against Newcastle's potent offense.

Final Prediction

Newcastle's superior attacking form and home advantage provide them with a decisive edge over Ipswich. Their ability to score freely, combined with Ipswich's defensive struggles, makes them the clear favorites. Fans should keep an eye on Newcastle’s attacking trio, who have been instrumental in their recent high-scoring games, as they look to exploit Ipswich’s defensive weaknesses and secure a vital three points.