Premier League 2024-2025: Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction

Newcastle

Home Team
73%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
13%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Recent Trends

Newcastle ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)

Brentford ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.68
# Clean Sheets: 1

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

For the upcoming clash between Newcastle and Brentford, the odds heavily favor Newcastle with a 73.0% probability of a home win. The likelihood of an away victory for Brentford stands at a mere 13.0%, while a draw is pegged at 15.0%. Newcastle currently occupies the 6th position in the Premier League, just a step away from the top four, while Brentford sits in 11th place. Additionally, there is a 54.0% probability that the match will see over 2.5 goals, pointing towards an engaging and high-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Newcastle's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with two wins and one loss in their last three matches. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory against West Ham away but faced a setback with a 2-0 defeat to Liverpool. However, they showcased their attacking prowess with a thrilling 4-3 win over Nott'm Forest at home. Despite this mixed bag of results, Newcastle's ability to score is evident, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game in their last five outings. On the other hand, Brentford has shown resilience in their recent encounters, with a win, a draw, and a loss. They managed a hard-fought 2-1 victory against Bournemouth away and held Everton to a 1-1 draw at home but faltered against Aston Villa with a 1-0 home loss. Brentford's scoring statistics are impressive, averaging 2.8 goals per match in their last five, while their defense has been relatively tight, conceding just 0.4 goals on average.

Final Prediction

Newcastle is favored due to their superior standing and recent attacking form. Their ability to find the back of the net could prove decisive against Brentford's solid but occasionally penetrable defense. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's offense, which, if in full swing, could secure them the edge needed for victory in this crucial Premier League fixture.