Premier League 2024-2025: Man City vs Liverpool Prediction

Man City

Home Team
26%
VS

Liverpool

Away Team
55%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 65%
Under 2.5: 35%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 25 18 6 1 60 24 36 60
2 Arsenal 25 15 8 2 51 22 29 53
3 Nott'm Forest 25 14 5 6 41 29 12 47
4 Man City 25 13 5 7 52 35 17 44
5 Bournemouth 25 12 7 6 44 29 15 43
6 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 47 34 13 43
7 Newcastle 25 12 5 8 42 33 9 41
8 Fulham 25 10 9 6 38 33 5 39
9 Aston Villa 25 10 8 7 35 38 -3 38
10 Brighton 25 9 10 6 38 38 0 37
11 Brentford 25 10 4 11 43 42 1 34
12 Tottenham 25 9 3 13 49 37 12 30
13 Crystal Palace 25 7 9 9 29 32 -3 30
14 Everton 25 7 9 9 27 31 -4 30
15 Man United 25 8 5 12 28 35 -7 29
16 West Ham 25 7 6 12 29 47 -18 27
17 Wolves 25 5 4 16 35 54 -19 19
18 Ipswich 25 3 8 14 23 50 -27 17
19 Leicester 25 4 5 16 25 55 -30 17
20 Southampton 25 2 3 20 19 57 -38 9

Recent Trends

Man City ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 6 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 2)

Liverpool ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 2

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.96
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Manchester City and Liverpool is anticipated to be a thrilling encounter, with Liverpool emerging as the likely victors with a 55% probability of winning. In contrast, Manchester City holds a 26% chance of securing a victory, and the possibility of a draw stands at 20%. Positioned first in the Premier League, Liverpool seems poised to maintain their dominance, while fourth-placed Manchester City will aim to close the gap. With a 65% probability of the match having over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an exhilarating and high-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Manchester City enters this match with mixed results from their last three outings. A commanding 4-0 win against Newcastle and a 3-1 victory over Chelsea at home showcase their attacking prowess. However, a 5-1 defeat to Arsenal highlights potential vulnerabilities, particularly when playing away. City's recent form has seen them average 2.6 goals per game while conceding 1.0, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Conversely, Liverpool has been in fine form, remaining unbeaten in their last three games. A solid 2-1 win at home against Wolves and a 2-0 victory away to Bournemouth underline their defensive strength and attacking efficiency. Even in their 2-2 draw with Everton, Liverpool demonstrated resilience. They averaged 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.6, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their expected goals metrics also indicate a strong offensive output, further backed by consistent defensive performances.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's edge in this matchup stems from their consistent recent form and superior league position. Their ability to score goals while maintaining a solid defense provides them with a balanced approach that could prove decisive. A key factor to watch is Liverpool's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, as this could be the difference-maker against a Manchester City side known for their attacking capabilities.