Premier League 2024-2025: Man City vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Man City

Home Team
67%
VS

Crystal Palace

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 31 22 7 2 72 30 42 73
2 Arsenal 31 17 11 3 56 26 30 62
3 Nott'm Forest 31 17 6 8 51 37 14 57
4 Chelsea 31 15 8 8 54 37 17 53
5 Newcastle 30 16 5 9 52 39 13 53
6 Man City 31 15 7 9 57 40 17 52
7 Aston Villa 31 14 9 8 46 46 0 51
8 Fulham 31 13 9 9 47 42 5 48
9 Brighton 31 12 11 8 49 47 2 47
10 Bournemouth 31 12 9 10 51 40 11 45
11 Crystal Palace 30 11 10 9 39 35 4 43
12 Brentford 31 12 6 13 51 47 4 42
13 Man United 31 10 8 13 37 41 -4 38
14 Tottenham 31 11 4 16 58 45 13 37
15 Everton 31 7 14 10 33 38 -5 35
16 West Ham 31 9 8 14 35 52 -17 35
17 Wolves 31 9 5 17 43 59 -16 32
18 Ipswich 31 4 8 19 31 65 -34 20
19 Leicester 31 4 5 22 25 70 -45 17
20 Southampton 31 2 4 25 23 74 -51 10

Recent Trends

Man City ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)

Crystal Palace ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Southampton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 3

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Man City and Crystal Palace is forecasted to tilt in favor of the home team, with a 67.0% probability of Man City securing victory. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 48.0% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Man City sits in 6th place on the Premier League table, while Crystal Palace is positioned at 11th.

Match Analysis

Man City's recent performances have been a mix of draws and a win, reflecting a team that is solid in defense but occasionally struggles in attack. Their last three matches, including a goalless draw against Man United and a 2-2 draw against Brighton, show a tendency toward stalemates. However, a 2-0 win over Leicester at home highlights their capability to secure crucial points. Key advanced metrics reveal that Man City has been averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.0, with three clean sheets in their last five matches, suggesting a strong defensive setup. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has shown promising form with two wins and a draw in their last three outings. A narrow victory over Ipswich and a draw against Southampton demonstrate resilience, while a 2-1 win against Brighton underscores their potential to surprise opponents. Crystal Palace's recent defensive record is commendable, conceding just 0.2 goals on average in their last five games, backed by two clean sheets. Their attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game, suggests they can find the net against challenging defenses.

Final Prediction

Man City is poised to have the upper hand in this encounter, largely due to their superior league position and solid defensive performances. Their ability to keep clean sheets and score consistently gives them an edge. A key factor to watch in this match will be Man City's ability to break down Crystal Palace's sturdy defense, which has been a hallmark of their recent successful outings.