Premier League 2024-2025: Liverpool vs Southampton Prediction

Liverpool

Home Team
99%
VS

Southampton

Away Team
0%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 28 20 7 1 66 26 40 67
2 Arsenal 27 15 9 3 51 23 28 54
3 Nott'm Forest 27 14 6 7 44 33 11 48
4 Man City 27 14 5 8 53 37 16 47
5 Chelsea 27 13 7 7 52 36 16 46
6 Newcastle 27 13 5 9 46 38 8 44
7 Bournemouth 27 12 7 8 45 32 13 43
8 Brighton 27 11 10 6 44 39 5 43
9 Fulham 27 11 9 7 40 36 4 42
10 Aston Villa 28 11 9 8 40 45 -5 42
11 Brentford 27 11 5 11 48 43 5 38
12 Crystal Palace 27 9 9 9 35 33 2 36
13 Tottenham 27 10 3 14 53 39 14 33
14 Man United 27 9 6 12 33 39 -6 33
15 West Ham 27 9 6 12 32 47 -15 33
16 Everton 27 7 11 9 30 34 -4 32
17 Wolves 27 6 4 17 37 56 -19 22
18 Ipswich 27 3 8 16 26 57 -31 17
19 Leicester 27 4 5 18 25 61 -36 17
20 Southampton 27 2 3 22 19 65 -46 9

Recent Trends

Liverpool ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 2)

Southampton ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.84
# Clean Sheets: 2

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.69
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Liverpool and Southampton is overwhelmingly tipped in favor of Liverpool, with a staggering 99.0% probability of them clinching victory. The likelihood of Southampton pulling off an upset is virtually nil, while a draw sits at a mere 1.0% probability. Liverpool, currently leading the Premier League standings, boast a substantial 67 points, in stark contrast to Southampton's basement-dwelling position with just 9 points. With a 66.0% chance of the match witnessing over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a goal-laden encounter.

Match Analysis

Liverpool enters the match on a positive trajectory, having secured two impressive victories against Newcastle and Manchester City, and a stalemate away at Aston Villa. Their recent performances have been bolstered by a robust attack, averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, Liverpool has managed two clean sheets in the same period, conceding an average of just 1.0 goals per game. The Reds' ability to convert opportunities is reflected in their expected goals of 2.04 per match, further solidifying their attacking prowess. Southampton, on the other hand, have been on a dismal run, suffering heavy defeats to Chelsea, Brighton, and Bournemouth. The Saints have struggled both offensively and defensively, scoring just 1.2 goals on average while conceding 2.6 in their last five games. With no clean sheets in recent matches and an expected goals conceded figure of 2.69, Southampton's defensive vulnerabilities have been starkly exposed.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's commanding form and offensive firepower grant them a significant edge heading into this fixture. Their superior league standing and recent results underscore their capability to dominate proceedings. For fans, the key factor to watch will be Liverpool's attacking dynamism, as they aim to continue their goal-scoring exploits against a defensively frail Southampton side.