Premier League 2024-2025: Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction
Liverpool
Home Team
82%
VS
Newcastle
Away Team
8%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
59%
Under 2.5:
41%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 64 | 26 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 23 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | Nott'm Forest | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Man City | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | Newcastle | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 | Brighton | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Brentford | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 37 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 33 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 33 |
| 14 | Everton | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Man United | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
| 16 | West Ham | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 30 |
| 17 | Wolves | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 22 |
| 18 | Ipswich | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 17 |
| 19 | Leicester | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 17 |
| 20 | Southampton | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 61 | -42 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Liverpool
- Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 0)
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Liverpool
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.01
# Clean Sheets:
2
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Liverpool and Newcastle is tipped in favor of the home side, with a significant 82.0% probability of Liverpool securing a victory. The likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals is 59.0%, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter. Liverpool currently leads the Premier League standings in 1st position with 64 points, while Newcastle, placed 5th with 44 points, aims to solidify its top-four ambitions.
Match Analysis
Liverpool's recent performances indicate a strong run, with two wins and a draw in their last three matches. Their away victory against Man City (2-0) and a home win over Wolves (2-1) demonstrate their capability to clinch crucial points. The team has averaged 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings, showcasing their attacking prowess, while also maintaining two clean sheets, highlighting their defensive resilience.
Newcastle, on the other hand, has experienced a mixed bag of results. A thrilling 4-3 victory over Nott'm Forest was followed by two consecutive losses, including a heavy 0-4 defeat to Man City. Despite these setbacks, Newcastle's average of 2.2 goals scored in the last five matches indicates a persistent threat up front. However, their lack of clean sheets during this period points to defensive vulnerabilities that Liverpool might exploit.
Final Prediction
Liverpool's formidable form and strong defensive record give them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to score consistently and keep opponents at bay, combined with Newcastle's defensive frailties, bolster the prediction of a home win. A key aspect to watch will be Liverpool's attacking efficiency against Newcastle's defense, which could set the tone for an entertaining match.