Premier League 2024-2025: Leicester vs Newcastle Prediction

Leicester

Home Team
6%
VS

Newcastle

Away Team
87%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 30 22 7 1 70 27 43 73
2 Arsenal 30 17 10 3 55 25 30 61
3 Nott'm Forest 30 17 6 7 50 35 15 57
4 Chelsea 30 15 7 8 54 37 17 52
5 Man City 30 15 6 9 57 40 17 51
6 Newcastle 29 15 5 9 49 39 10 50
7 Aston Villa 30 13 9 8 44 45 -1 48
8 Brighton 30 12 11 7 48 45 3 47
9 Fulham 30 12 9 9 44 40 4 45
10 Bournemouth 30 12 8 10 49 38 11 44
11 Brentford 30 12 5 13 51 47 4 41
12 Crystal Palace 29 10 10 9 37 34 3 40
13 Man United 30 10 7 13 37 41 -4 37
14 Tottenham 30 10 4 16 55 44 11 34
15 Everton 30 7 13 10 32 37 -5 34
16 West Ham 30 9 7 14 33 50 -17 34
17 Wolves 30 8 5 17 41 58 -17 29
18 Ipswich 30 4 8 18 30 63 -33 20
19 Leicester 30 4 5 21 25 67 -42 17
20 Southampton 30 2 4 24 22 71 -49 10

Recent Trends

Leicester ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs West Ham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 4)

Newcastle ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.91
# Clean Sheets: 0

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.23
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leicester City and Newcastle United is poised to heavily favor the visitors. With an 87.0% probability of winning, Newcastle is expected to secure a victory over Leicester, who have a mere 6.0% chance of winning. The probability of a draw stands at 7.0%. The game is likely to see over 2.5 goals, with a 52.0% probability. Currently, Newcastle is performing significantly better in the Premier League, sitting comfortably in 6th place, while Leicester struggles in 19th position, teetering on the brink of relegation.

Match Analysis

In recent outings, Leicester City has been unable to find the back of the net, suffering three consecutive losses without scoring a single goal. Their latest defeats came against formidable opponents, including a 0-2 loss to Manchester City, a 0-3 home defeat to Manchester United, and a 0-1 setback against Chelsea. The team's defensive frailties are evident, having conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game over their last five matches. In contrast, their expected goals (xG) figures suggest they have been quite unlucky in attack, with an xG of 1.01. Newcastle United, meanwhile, has shown resilience and an ability to grind out results. They have secured two wins in their last three matches, including a 2-1 victory over Brentford and a 1-0 win at West Ham. Despite a 0-2 loss to Liverpool, Newcastle's defense has been more robust, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in their last five games, with one clean sheet. Their offensive metrics are solid, as they average 1.2 goals scored per game and an xG of 1.55, indicating a well-rounded squad capable of capitalizing on Leicester's defensive woes.

Final Prediction

Newcastle United's superior form and defensive solidity give them a decisive edge in this matchup against a struggling Leicester City. The Magpies' ability to both score and maintain a tighter defense suggests they will dominate proceedings. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's attacking prowess, as they aim to exploit Leicester's vulnerabilities at the back, potentially leading to a high-scoring encounter.