Premier League 2024-2025: Leicester vs Brentford Prediction

Leicester

Home Team
35%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
39%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 25 18 6 1 60 24 36 60
2 Arsenal 25 15 8 2 51 22 29 53
3 Nott'm Forest 25 14 5 6 41 29 12 47
4 Man City 25 13 5 7 52 35 17 44
5 Bournemouth 25 12 7 6 44 29 15 43
6 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 47 34 13 43
7 Newcastle 25 12 5 8 42 33 9 41
8 Fulham 25 10 9 6 38 33 5 39
9 Aston Villa 25 10 8 7 35 38 -3 38
10 Brighton 25 9 10 6 38 38 0 37
11 Brentford 25 10 4 11 43 42 1 34
12 Tottenham 25 9 3 13 49 37 12 30
13 Crystal Palace 25 7 9 9 29 32 -3 30
14 Everton 25 7 9 9 27 31 -4 30
15 Man United 25 8 5 12 28 35 -7 29
16 West Ham 25 7 6 12 29 47 -18 27
17 Wolves 25 5 4 16 35 54 -19 19
18 Ipswich 25 3 8 14 23 50 -27 17
19 Leicester 25 4 5 16 25 55 -30 17
20 Southampton 25 2 3 20 19 57 -38 9

Recent Trends

Leicester ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)

Brentford ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.82
# Clean Sheets: 0

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leicester and Brentford promises to be a tightly contested affair. Brentford, with a 39% probability, is slightly favored to emerge victorious over Leicester, who hold a 35% chance of winning. The game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 55% likelihood of such an outcome. In the current Premier League standings, Brentford sits in 11th place, while Leicester finds themselves struggling near the bottom in 19th place.

Match Analysis

In recent weeks, Leicester's performance has been inconsistent, with a win against Tottenham followed by two defeats against Arsenal and Everton. Their attack has been underwhelming, failing to score against Arsenal and Everton, which is reflected in their average of 0 goals per game over the last five matches. Defensively, Leicester has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game, and they have not kept a clean sheet in their last five outings. Conversely, Brentford has shown more promise, recording two victories in their last three matches, notably winning against West Ham and Crystal Palace. Their offensive capabilities are evident in their average of 1.8 goals scored per game, backed by a strong expected goals metric of 2.41. Brentford's defense has been robust, conceding only 0.6 goals per game on average, and they have maintained a clean sheet during this period. These statistics suggest a well-rounded and in-form Brentford side that could capitalize on Leicester's defensive frailties.

Final Prediction

Brentford's slight edge in this matchup is rooted in their recent form and superior defensive record, positioning them as the likely favorites. A key factor to watch will be Brentford's ability to convert chances efficiently, given their strong expected goals statistics, while Leicester will need to shore up their defense to avoid another disappointing result.