Premier League 2024-2025: Ipswich vs Arsenal Prediction

Ipswich

Home Team
2%
VS

Arsenal

Away Team
96%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 21 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.02
# Clean Sheets: 0

Arsenal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.76
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Ipswich and Arsenal sees the Gunners as overwhelming favorites with a 96.0% chance of victory, compared to a mere 2.0% for Ipswich. Also, the likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals stands at 64.0%. Currently, Arsenal sits comfortably in 2nd place in the Premier League, while Ipswich struggles in the relegation zone at 18th.

Match Analysis

Ipswich enters the game with a mixed bag of recent results. They managed a commendable away draw against Chelsea and sealed a win over Bournemouth, yet fell short against Wolves at home. Despite these flashes of resilience, Ipswich's defensive frailties are apparent, conceding an average of 3.6 goals over their last five matches. On the offensive side, they average just 1.0 goal per game, underscoring the challenges they face against Arsenal's solid defense. Arsenal, in stark contrast, boasts a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per game over their last five outings. They recorded a victory and two draws in their recent fixtures, demonstrating consistency in their performances. Arsenal's expected goals (xG) numbers reflect their attacking potential, with an average of 1.438 xG per game, suggesting they could exploit Ipswich's defensive weaknesses.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's formidable defense and consistent performances give them a clear edge over Ipswich. With a significant gap in the standings and Ipswich's defensive vulnerabilities, Arsenal is well-positioned to capitalize and secure a crucial win. A key factor to monitor will be how Arsenal's attack can break through Ipswich's defense, potentially turning the match into a high-scoring affair.