Premier League 2024-2025: Fulham vs Tottenham Prediction

Fulham

Home Team
53%
VS

Tottenham

Away Team
23%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 28 15 10 3 52 24 28 55
3 Nott'm Forest 28 15 6 7 45 33 12 51
4 Chelsea 28 14 7 7 53 36 17 49
5 Man City 28 14 5 9 53 38 15 47
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 28 12 10 6 46 40 6 46
8 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
9 Bournemouth 28 12 8 8 47 34 13 44
10 Fulham 28 11 9 8 41 38 3 42
11 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
12 Brentford 28 11 5 12 48 44 4 38
13 Tottenham 28 10 4 14 55 41 14 34
14 Man United 28 9 7 12 34 40 -6 34
15 Everton 28 7 12 9 31 35 -4 33
16 West Ham 28 9 6 13 32 48 -16 33
17 Wolves 28 6 5 17 38 57 -19 23
18 Ipswich 28 3 8 17 26 58 -32 17
19 Leicester 28 4 5 19 25 62 -37 17
20 Southampton 28 2 3 23 20 68 -48 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 0

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Fulham and Tottenham sees Fulham as the predicted victors with a 53.0% probability of securing a home win, compared to Tottenham's 23.0% chance of an away victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 24.0%. With Fulham sitting at 10th and Tottenham at 13th in the current Premier League standings, the match promises to be competitive. The game is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 59.0% chance of this outcome.

Match Analysis

Fulham's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mixed bag of results in their last three matches. Despite a commendable away victory against Wolves (2-1), they have suffered defeats at the hands of Brighton (1-2) and Crystal Palace (0-2). Their attacking metrics show an average of 1.2 goals scored per game in the last five matches, while their defensive record reveals a vulnerability, with an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game. Tottenham, on the other hand, have shown some resilience, albeit with their own share of ups and downs. They managed an emphatic 4-1 away win against Ipswich but drew 2-2 against Bournemouth and suffered a narrow 0-1 home loss to Manchester City. Tottenham's recent performances have seen them average 1.8 goals per game, while their defense has conceded 1.4 goals on average. Their ability to keep a clean sheet twice in the last five matches could play a crucial role as they face Fulham.

Final Prediction

Fulham is favored to win largely due to their home advantage and Tottenham's recent inconsistencies in performance. Fulham's edge lies in their predicted ability to exploit Tottenham's defensive frailties, as highlighted by Tottenham's average of 1.786 expected goals conceded in recent games. A key factor to watch during the game will be how Fulham's attackers capitalize on Tottenham's defensive lapses to secure the predicted victory.