Premier League 2024-2025: Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction

Fulham

Home Team
20%
VS

Chelsea

Away Team
64%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 21 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Recent Trends

Fulham ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)

Chelsea ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.96
# Clean Sheets: 1

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.81
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Fulham and Chelsea, the odds favor Chelsea with a 64.0% probability of victory, while Fulham stands at a 20.0% chance. A draw is the least likely outcome at 16.0%. The game is expected to be an exciting affair, with a high probability (64.0%) of surpassing 2.5 goals. In the league standings, Chelsea is currently 6th with 54 points, while Fulham is 9th with 48 points.

Match Analysis

Fulham's recent form has been a mixed bag, with one win and two losses in their last three encounters. Their triumph over Liverpool at home showcased their attacking prowess, netting three goals. However, defeats to Bournemouth and Arsenal indicate inconsistencies, particularly away from Craven Cottage. Advanced metrics reveal Fulham has averaged 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings, with a relatively solid defensive performance, conceding 1.2 goals on average. On the other hand, Chelsea comes into this game with a more stable recent performance, securing a win over Tottenham and drawing against Ipswich and Brentford. Despite scoring only 0.4 goals on average in their last five matches, Chelsea's defense has shown resilience, boasting three clean sheets. Their expected goals (xG) metrics suggest they have the potential to create more scoring chances, with an xG of 1.218.

Final Prediction

Chelsea's higher standing in the league and recent defensive solidity give them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to keep clean sheets could be a decisive factor against Fulham's inconsistent attack. A key factor to watch during this game will be Chelsea's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be crucial in securing a win.