Premier League 2024-2025: Crystal Palace vs Brighton Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
45%
VS

Brighton

Away Team
29%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 30 22 7 1 70 27 43 73
2 Arsenal 30 17 10 3 55 25 30 61
3 Nott'm Forest 30 17 6 7 50 35 15 57
4 Chelsea 30 15 7 8 54 37 17 52
5 Man City 30 15 6 9 57 40 17 51
6 Newcastle 29 15 5 9 49 39 10 50
7 Aston Villa 30 13 9 8 44 45 -1 48
8 Brighton 30 12 11 7 48 45 3 47
9 Fulham 30 12 9 9 44 40 4 45
10 Bournemouth 30 12 8 10 49 38 11 44
11 Brentford 30 12 5 13 51 47 4 41
12 Crystal Palace 29 10 10 9 37 34 3 40
13 Man United 30 10 7 13 37 41 -4 37
14 Tottenham 30 10 4 16 55 44 11 34
15 Everton 30 7 13 10 32 37 -5 34
16 West Ham 30 9 7 14 33 50 -17 34
17 Wolves 30 8 5 17 41 58 -17 29
18 Ipswich 30 4 8 18 30 63 -33 20
19 Leicester 30 4 5 21 25 67 -42 17
20 Southampton 30 2 4 24 22 71 -49 10

Recent Trends

Crystal Palace ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Southampton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 2)

Brighton ❌ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 2

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Crystal Palace is favored to win their upcoming clash against Brighton with a 45.0% probability, compared to Brighton's 29.0% chance of victory. The odds of a draw stand at 26.0%. The match is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 56.0% likelihood. Crystal Palace sits in 12th place, while Brighton is slightly ahead in 8th in the Premier League standings.

Match Analysis

Crystal Palace has shown promising form in their recent outings, securing two wins and a draw. Notably, they convincingly defeated Aston Villa 4-1 at home, showcasing their attacking prowess. In the last three fixtures, they have scored six goals while conceding only two, indicating a solid balance between defense and attack. Their advanced metrics back this up, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match over their last five games. Brighton, on the other hand, has experienced mixed results. After a heavy 3-0 loss to Aston Villa, they managed a commendable 2-2 draw against a strong Manchester City side and a narrow 2-1 victory over Fulham. Brighton has been potent in attack with an average of 2.2 goals scored in their last five games, but their defense remains a concern, having conceded 2.0 goals on average. The team has only managed one clean sheet in their last five outings, suggesting vulnerabilities that Crystal Palace might exploit.

Final Prediction

Crystal Palace's recent form and superior defensive record give them an edge in this encounter. Their ability to maintain clean sheets coupled with consistent goal-scoring could prove pivotal against a Brighton side that has struggled defensively. A key factor will be Crystal Palace's ability to leverage their home advantage and maintain their recent goal-scoring momentum.