Premier League 2024-2025: Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
34%
VS

Bournemouth

Away Team
42%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 21 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Bournemouth is predicted to secure a victory over Crystal Palace with a 42.0% probability. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is high at 66.0%. Crystal Palace currently sits in 12th position in the league table, while Bournemouth is slightly higher at 8th, though both teams are navigating through a tightly contested mid-table battle.

Match Analysis

Recent performances suggest contrasting trends for the two teams. Crystal Palace has endured a challenging period, suffering heavy away defeats to both Newcastle and Manchester City, conceding five goals in each encounter. However, their home form provided a glimmer of hope with a 2-1 victory against Brighton, indicating resilience on familiar turf. The Eagles have struggled defensively, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game in their last five outings, though their expected goals (xG) figure of 2.23 indicates potential for more attacking output. Bournemouth, on the other hand, has displayed a more consistent form. They secured a morale-boosting win against Fulham and managed a draw away to West Ham, showcasing their ability to compete both home and away. Despite a setback against Ipswich, the Cherries have an impressive scoring average of 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches, coupled with a solid expected goals (xG) rate of 2.134. Their defense, however, remains susceptible, with 1.6 goals conceded on average.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth's superior attacking metrics and recent form provide them with a slight edge over Crystal Palace. The key factor to watch will be how Bournemouth's offense, which has been prolific lately, fares against a Crystal Palace side looking to tighten up defensively. With both teams likely to find the net, fans can anticipate an entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action.