Premier League 2024-2025: Chelsea vs Ipswich Prediction

Chelsea

Home Team
97%
VS

Ipswich

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 31 22 7 2 72 30 42 73
2 Arsenal 31 17 11 3 56 26 30 62
3 Nott'm Forest 31 17 6 8 51 37 14 57
4 Chelsea 31 15 8 8 54 37 17 53
5 Newcastle 30 16 5 9 52 39 13 53
6 Man City 31 15 7 9 57 40 17 52
7 Aston Villa 31 14 9 8 46 46 0 51
8 Fulham 31 13 9 9 47 42 5 48
9 Brighton 31 12 11 8 49 47 2 47
10 Bournemouth 31 12 9 10 51 40 11 45
11 Crystal Palace 30 11 10 9 39 35 4 43
12 Brentford 31 12 6 13 51 47 4 42
13 Man United 31 10 8 13 37 41 -4 38
14 Tottenham 31 11 4 16 58 45 13 37
15 Everton 31 7 14 10 33 38 -5 35
16 West Ham 31 9 8 14 35 52 -17 35
17 Wolves 31 9 5 17 43 59 -16 32
18 Ipswich 31 4 8 19 31 65 -34 20
19 Leicester 31 4 5 22 25 70 -45 17
20 Southampton 31 2 4 25 23 74 -51 10

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 4

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.32
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Chelsea and Ipswich is heavily skewed in favor of Chelsea, with a staggering 97% probability of a home win. This game also comes with a 60% chance of witnessing over 2.5 goals. Chelsea currently sit 4th in the Premier League standings, while Ipswich are struggling in the relegation zone at 18th position.

Match Analysis

Chelsea's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a win against Tottenham, a draw with Brentford, and a narrow loss to Arsenal. Despite this, Chelsea's defense has been robust, keeping four clean sheets in their last five games. The Blues have averaged 2.2 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.4, showcasing their solid performance both defensively and offensively. Ipswich, on the other hand, have been inconsistent in their last three outings. They managed a surprising away win against Bournemouth but suffered losses to Wolves and Nott'm Forest. Ipswich's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, which could be a significant concern against Chelsea's attacking prowess. Their inability to maintain a clean sheet in recent games further compounds their defensive woes.

Final Prediction

Chelsea's superior defense and consistent goal-scoring form give them a clear edge over Ipswich, who have been struggling at the back. The key factor to watch during this match will be Chelsea's ability to capitalize on Ipswich's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring encounter as predicted by the over 2.5 goals probability.