Premier League 2024-2025: Chelsea vs Everton Prediction

Chelsea

Home Team
92%
VS

Everton

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 33 24 7 2 75 31 44 79
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
4 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
5 Newcastle 33 18 5 10 62 44 18 59
6 Chelsea 33 16 9 8 58 40 18 57
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Bournemouth 33 13 10 10 52 40 12 49
9 Fulham 33 13 9 11 48 45 3 48
10 Brighton 33 12 12 9 53 53 0 48
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Everton 33 8 14 11 34 40 -6 38
14 Man United 33 10 8 15 38 46 -8 38
15 Wolves 33 11 5 17 48 61 -13 38
16 Tottenham 33 11 4 18 61 51 10 37
17 West Ham 33 9 9 15 37 55 -18 36
18 Ipswich 33 4 9 20 33 71 -38 21
19 Leicester 33 4 6 23 27 73 -46 18
20 Southampton 33 2 5 26 24 78 -54 11

Recent Trends

Chelsea ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)

Everton ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 2

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.24
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Chelsea is heavily favored to win their upcoming clash against Everton, boasting a staggering 92.0% probability of victory. With a mere 3.0% chance for an Everton win and a 5.0% probability for a draw, Chelsea appears to be the dominant force heading into this encounter. Positioned 6th in the Premier League standings, Chelsea is eyeing a spot in the top four, while Everton sits in 13th place, trying to distance themselves from the relegation zone. The game is predicted to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 52.0% likelihood of this occurring.

Match Analysis

Chelsea enters the match with a mixed record from their last three games, securing a win against Fulham, but drawing against Ipswich and Brentford. Their recent performances highlight a solid defense, conceding only three goals across these matches. Chelsea's advanced metrics support their strong form, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per game in their last five outings. Their ability to maintain two clean sheets in recent matches further underscores their defensive prowess. Everton, on the other hand, has shown resilience, with a notable victory against Nottingham Forest and a hard-fought draw against Arsenal. However, they suffered a setback with a home loss to Manchester City. Everton's recent metrics reveal a team capable of competing, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Their defense has been relatively sturdy, with one clean sheet in their last five matches.

Final Prediction

Chelsea's superior form and advanced metrics give them a significant edge over Everton in this matchup. Their ability to score consistently and maintain a strong defensive line is a key factor that could lead them to victory. A crucial aspect to watch during the game will be Chelsea's attacking efficiency, as their goal-scoring capability could determine the match's outcome.