Premier League 2024-2025: Brighton vs West Ham Prediction
Brighton
Home Team
79%
VS
West Ham
Away Team
9%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Current Standings
Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 79 |
2 | Arsenal | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 67 |
3 | Man City | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
4 | Nott'm Forest | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
5 | Newcastle | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Chelsea | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 57 |
7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Bournemouth | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
9 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
10 | Brighton | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 48 |
11 | Brentford | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 46 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
13 | Everton | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
14 | Man United | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
15 | Wolves | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Tottenham | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 37 |
17 | West Ham | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 36 |
18 | Ipswich | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 21 |
19 | Leicester | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 73 | -46 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 78 | -54 | 11 |
Recent Trends
Brighton
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)
West Ham
- Last Match: vs Southampton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.25
# Clean Sheets:
0
West Ham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Brighton is predicted to claim victory with a strong probability of 79.0% against West Ham. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is 55.0%, suggesting an exciting contest with plenty of action in front of goal. Currently, Brighton sits 10th in the Premier League standings, while West Ham is struggling in 17th, just above the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
In their last three outings, Brighton has experienced a rough patch, with a loss to Brentford (2-4), a draw against Leicester (2-2), and another loss to Crystal Palace (1-2). Despite this, their attacking prowess remains evident, averaging 1.8 goals in their last five games and boasting 2.17 expected goals. However, Brighton's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game and failing to secure a clean sheet in their recent matches.
West Ham, on the other hand, also finds themselves in a challenging period, having drawn against Southampton (1-1) and Bournemouth (2-2), and suffered a narrow defeat to Liverpool (1-2). Their goal-scoring form is less prolific, with an average of 0.8 goals in the last five encounters. Moreover, the Hammers have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties that could be exploited by Brighton's offensive capabilities.
Final Prediction
Brighton is poised to capitalize on West Ham's vulnerabilities, with their superior attacking metrics providing a clear edge. The Seagulls' ability to create goal-scoring opportunities against a West Ham side that has struggled both defensively and offensively could be the decisive factor. Keep an eye on Brighton's attacking flair as they aim to break their winless streak and secure all three points.