Premier League 2024-2025: Brentford vs Everton Prediction

Brentford

Home Team
75%
VS

Everton

Away Team
12%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 27 19 7 1 64 26 38 64
2 Arsenal 26 15 8 3 51 23 28 53
3 Nott'm Forest 26 14 5 7 44 33 11 47
4 Man City 26 13 5 8 52 37 15 44
5 Newcastle 26 13 5 8 46 36 10 44
6 Bournemouth 26 12 7 7 44 30 14 43
7 Chelsea 26 12 7 7 48 36 12 43
8 Aston Villa 27 11 9 7 39 41 -2 42
9 Brighton 26 10 10 6 42 38 4 40
10 Fulham 26 10 9 7 38 35 3 39
11 Brentford 26 11 4 11 47 42 5 37
12 Tottenham 26 10 3 13 53 38 15 33
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 9 9 31 32 -1 33
14 Everton 26 7 10 9 29 33 -4 31
15 Man United 26 8 6 12 30 37 -7 30
16 West Ham 26 8 6 12 30 47 -17 30
17 Wolves 26 6 4 16 36 54 -18 22
18 Ipswich 26 3 8 15 24 54 -30 17
19 Leicester 26 4 5 17 25 59 -34 17
20 Southampton 26 2 3 21 19 61 -42 9

Recent Trends

Brentford ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)

Everton ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.14
# Clean Sheets: 2

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Brentford and Everton is heavily tipped in favor of the home side, with a significant 75% probability of a Brentford victory. The match is expected to be lively, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Brentford sits 11th in the Premier League standings, whereas Everton finds themselves in 14th place, making this a crucial encounter for both teams.

Match Analysis

Brentford's recent form has been somewhat mixed, showing a resounding away win against Leicester (4-0) and a hard-fought victory over West Ham (1-0). However, they faced a setback with a home defeat against Tottenham (0-2). This pattern indicates a strong defensive performance recently, with two clean sheets in their last three outings. On the other hand, Everton has demonstrated resilience, securing a draw against formidable opponents like Man United (2-2) and Liverpool (2-2), while also clinching a win against Crystal Palace (2-1). Examining the advanced metrics, Brentford's average of 0.6 goals scored in the last five matches might seem underwhelming, but their defensive solidity has been noteworthy, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded. In contrast, Everton has been slightly more effective in attack, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game, while their defense has been relatively robust, conceding 0.6 goals on average. Both teams have recorded two clean sheets in their last five games, which could influence the defensive strategies going into this match.

Final Prediction

Brentford appears to have the upper hand going into this fixture, largely due to their higher probability of winning and their solid recent defensive form. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could be crucial against an Everton side that has struggled to consistently find the back of the net. A key factor to watch during the game will be Brentford's ability to capitalize on home advantage and potentially exploit any lapses in Everton's defense.