Premier League 2024-2025: Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction

Brentford

Home Team
15%
VS

Chelsea

Away Team
72%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 69%
Under 2.5: 31%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 30 22 7 1 70 27 43 73
2 Arsenal 30 17 10 3 55 25 30 61
3 Nott'm Forest 30 17 6 7 50 35 15 57
4 Chelsea 30 15 7 8 54 37 17 52
5 Man City 30 15 6 9 57 40 17 51
6 Newcastle 29 15 5 9 49 39 10 50
7 Aston Villa 30 13 9 8 44 45 -1 48
8 Brighton 30 12 11 7 48 45 3 47
9 Fulham 30 12 9 9 44 40 4 45
10 Bournemouth 30 12 8 10 49 38 11 44
11 Brentford 30 12 5 13 51 47 4 41
12 Crystal Palace 29 10 10 9 37 34 3 40
13 Man United 30 10 7 13 37 41 -4 37
14 Tottenham 30 10 4 16 55 44 11 34
15 Everton 30 7 13 10 32 37 -5 34
16 West Ham 30 9 7 14 33 50 -17 34
17 Wolves 30 8 5 17 41 58 -17 29
18 Ipswich 30 4 8 18 30 63 -33 20
19 Leicester 30 4 5 21 25 67 -42 17
20 Southampton 30 2 4 24 22 71 -49 10

Recent Trends

Brentford ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 4 - 0)

Chelsea ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.10
# Clean Sheets: 1

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In this intriguing Premier League clash, Chelsea are tipped as the favorites with a 72% probability of victory against Brentford, who have a mere 15% chance of winning. A draw holds a 13% likelihood. The game is anticipated to see over 2.5 goals with a 69% probability. Currently, Chelsea sit 4th in the league standings, poised for a potential Champions League spot, while Brentford are in 11th position, seeking to climb higher up the table.

Match Analysis

Brentford's recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last three outings. They managed a victory against Bournemouth away, but succumbed to losses against Newcastle and Aston Villa. Their performance has been hampered by a low average goal-scoring rate of 0.6 in the last five games, while conceding 1.6 goals on average. The advanced metrics further indicate defensive vulnerabilities, with Brentford's expected goals conceded standing at 2.102 per game. Chelsea, on the other hand, have shown a more resilient form, securing two wins out of their last three matches. After a narrow victory over Tottenham and a clean sheet win against Leicester, they stumbled against Arsenal. Defensively, Chelsea have been more solid, achieving three clean sheets in their last five matches. However, their goal-scoring prowess mirrors Brentford's, with an average of 0.6 goals per game. Chelsea's expected goals scored and conceded are notably lower, suggesting a potential for tighter games.

Final Prediction

Chelsea have the upper hand going into the match, primarily due to their stronger defensive record and recent form. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could be decisive in this fixture. A key factor to watch will be Chelsea's defensive organization, which could stifle Brentford's attacking efforts and secure them a crucial away victory.