Premier League 2024-2025: Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction

Brentford

Home Team
47%
VS

Aston Villa

Away Team
30%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 65%
Under 2.5: 35%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 28 20 7 1 66 26 40 67
2 Arsenal 27 15 9 3 51 23 28 54
3 Nott'm Forest 27 14 6 7 44 33 11 48
4 Man City 27 14 5 8 53 37 16 47
5 Chelsea 27 13 7 7 52 36 16 46
6 Newcastle 27 13 5 9 46 38 8 44
7 Bournemouth 27 12 7 8 45 32 13 43
8 Brighton 27 11 10 6 44 39 5 43
9 Fulham 27 11 9 7 40 36 4 42
10 Aston Villa 28 11 9 8 40 45 -5 42
11 Brentford 27 11 5 11 48 43 5 38
12 Crystal Palace 27 9 9 9 35 33 2 36
13 Tottenham 27 10 3 14 53 39 14 33
14 Man United 27 9 6 12 33 39 -6 33
15 West Ham 27 9 6 12 32 47 -15 33
16 Everton 27 7 11 9 30 34 -4 32
17 Wolves 27 6 4 17 37 56 -19 22
18 Ipswich 27 3 8 16 26 57 -31 17
19 Leicester 27 4 5 18 25 61 -36 17
20 Southampton 27 2 3 22 19 65 -46 9

Recent Trends

Brentford ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)

Aston Villa ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.24
# Clean Sheets: 2

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.35
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Brentford and Aston Villa is anticipated to lean towards a victory for the home side, with a 47.0% chance of Brentford emerging victorious. The match is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 65.0% likelihood of producing over 2.5 goals. Currently, Aston Villa sits in 10th place with 42 points, while Brentford is in 11th place with 38 points in the Premier League standings.

Match Analysis

Brentford enters this fixture on the back of a solid run, having secured a draw against Everton and back-to-back away wins against Leicester and West Ham. This indicates a positive trend in their recent form, especially their ability to keep clean sheets in two out of their last three games. Despite this, their recent goal-scoring average is just 0.8 per game, which is below their expected goals of 1.372, suggesting they may need to improve their finishing. Aston Villa's recent performances have been more mixed. They suffered a heavy defeat to Crystal Palace but managed a notable win against Chelsea and a draw with Liverpool at home. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Their attacking output mirrors Brentford's with an average of 0.8 goals scored, although their expected goals are slightly lower at 0.828, indicating challenges in creating clear-cut opportunities.

Final Prediction

Brentford appears to have the edge due to their recent defensive solidity and ability to secure crucial wins away from home. The key factor to watch in this match will be Brentford's ability to capitalize on their scoring chances against a Villa side that has struggled defensively. As both teams have shown similar attacking capabilities, Brentford's defensive resilience could be the deciding factor in this contest.