Premier League 2024-2025: Bournemouth vs Ipswich Prediction

Bournemouth

Home Team
92%
VS

Ipswich

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Recent Trends

Bournemouth ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)

Ipswich ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.60
# Clean Sheets: 0

Ipswich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.45
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Bournemouth is predicted to secure a convincing victory over Ipswich, with an overwhelming 92% probability of winning the match. The predicted outcome also suggests a high-scoring affair, with a 57% chance of the match having over 2.5 goals. Currently, Bournemouth sits in 10th place in the Premier League standings, while Ipswich is struggling at the 18th position, teetering dangerously close to relegation.

Match Analysis

In recent outings, Bournemouth has shown mixed form, with a loss at home to Brentford followed by a draw away at Tottenham, and another loss at Brighton. Despite these results, they have managed to maintain an average of 1.4 goals scored per game in their last five matches, supported by an expected goals (xG) figure of 1.952, indicating potential for better attacking outcomes. However, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 1 goal per game without managing a single clean sheet in recent matches. Ipswich, on the other hand, is on a dismal run with three consecutive losses, including a heavy defeat at home to Nott'm Forest. Their offensive efforts have yielded an average of 1.2 goals per game, but defensively they have been porous, conceding 2.2 goals on average over their last five fixtures. Ipswich's expected goals against (xGA) stands at a concerning 2.452, highlighting their defensive frailties which could be exploited by Bournemouth's attackers.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth's higher league standing and superior recent performances give them a significant edge over Ipswich. The Cherries' ability to create scoring opportunities, as reflected by their expected goals metrics, will be crucial in overcoming Ipswich's leaky defense. A key factor to watch during the game will be how Bournemouth capitalizes on Ipswich's defensive lapses, likely determining the match's outcome.