Premier League 2024-2025: Arsenal vs West Ham Prediction
Arsenal
Home Team
95%
VS
West Ham
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Current Standings
Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 60 |
2 | Arsenal | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 53 |
3 | Nott'm Forest | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 47 |
4 | Man City | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Bournemouth | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Chelsea | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 43 |
7 | Newcastle | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Fulham | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 39 |
9 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Brighton | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Brentford | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 34 |
12 | Tottenham | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 30 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | Everton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
15 | Man United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 29 |
16 | West Ham | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 27 |
17 | Wolves | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 19 |
18 | Ipswich | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 17 |
19 | Leicester | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 25 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 57 | -38 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Arsenal
- Last Match: vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 5 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
West Ham
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Arsenal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.59
# Clean Sheets:
2
West Ham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.71
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Arsenal and West Ham at the Emirates Stadium heavily favors the home side. With a whopping 95% probability of victory for Arsenal, fans can expect a strong showing from the Gunners. West Ham, currently languishing in 16th position, faces a daunting task against Arsenal, who hold a formidable second place in the Premier League. The probability of over 2.5 goals being scored is 56%, indicating an exciting, high-scoring affair.
Match Analysis
Arsenal enters this fixture on a triumphant note, having secured three consecutive victories in their last matches. Their resilience was particularly evident in the 5-1 thrashing of Manchester City, showcasing their attacking prowess. With an average of 2 goals scored per game in the last five fixtures and a solid defensive record, they are riding a wave of confidence. Key advanced metrics underscore Arsenal's strength, with an average of 1.78 expected goals scored and 0.588 expected goals conceded, indicating their efficiency at both ends of the pitch.
Conversely, West Ham has struggled to find form, with their recent performances yielding a single point from a possible nine. Their 1-0 defeat to Brentford at home and a 2-1 loss to Chelsea highlight defensive vulnerabilities. West Ham's average of 1 goal per game paired with a higher concession rate of 1.6 goals does not bode well against a formidable opponent like Arsenal. Additionally, failing to keep a clean sheet in recent matches emphasizes the challenges they face defensively.
Final Prediction
Arsenal's recent form and superior metrics give them a clear edge over West Ham in this encounter. The Gunners' robust defense and potent attack make them formidable opponents, especially at home. A key factor to watch will be Arsenal's ability to capitalize on West Ham's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring game that aligns with the over 2.5 goals prediction.