Premier League 2024-2025: Arsenal vs Fulham Prediction

Arsenal

Home Team
83%
VS

Fulham

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Arsenal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.81
# Clean Sheets: 3

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.14
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Arsenal is anticipated to secure a victory against Fulham with a commanding 83.0% probability. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 54.0%, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter. Currently, Arsenal ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while Fulham holds the 8th position, setting the stage for a clash between two teams with differing objectives this season.

Match Analysis

Arsenal has shown resilience in their recent matches, securing a win against Chelsea and drawing against both Manchester United and Nottingham Forest. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by three clean sheets in their last five matches. Offensively, Arsenal has averaged two goals per game, which indicates a strong attacking presence as they aim to maintain their top-four status. Fulham, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, with a recent victory against Tottenham, a loss to Brighton, and a win against Wolves. Their attacking threat is evident, averaging 1.8 goals per game, slightly less than Arsenal. However, Fulham's defense has been more porous, conceding 1.4 goals on average in their last five games. This defensive vulnerability might be a critical factor against Arsenal's potent attack.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's combination of attacking prowess and defensive strength gives them the upper hand in this fixture. Their superior league position and recent form suggest they are well-equipped to handle Fulham. A key factor to watch will be Arsenal's ability to capitalize on Fulham's defensive lapses, which could prove decisive in determining the outcome of this encounter.