Ligue 1 2024-2025: Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction
Strasbourg
Home Team
32%
VS
Toulouse
Away Team
45%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Monaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
| 5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Nantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | St Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
Toulouse
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
5
Toulouse
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.81
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Strasbourg and Toulouse is predicted to be a closely contested encounter, with Toulouse having a slight edge. The probability of Toulouse securing a victory stands at 45.0%, compared to Strasbourg’s 32.0% chance. A draw holds a 23.0% likelihood. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with a 52.0% probability of having over 2.5 goals. Currently, Strasbourg is positioned 7th in the Ligue 1 standings, while Toulouse is not far behind at 10th.
Match Analysis
In recent form, both teams have shown promising performances. Strasbourg is coming off two consecutive away victories against Nantes and Auxerre, both finishing 1-0, and a goalless draw at home against Brest. This defensive solidity is highlighted by their impressive record of five clean sheets in their last five matches. Offensively, Strasbourg has averaged 1.4 goals per game, relying on a solid backline to secure victories.
Toulouse, on the other hand, has been firing on all cylinders, particularly in their attacking play. They secured a convincing 4-0 victory against Angers and a 4-1 win over Le Havre, showcasing their offensive prowess. Their recent draw against Monaco, a solid team, further illustrates their resilience. Toulouse has averaged 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches, paired with a strong defensive performance, conceding only 0.6 goals per game.
Final Prediction
Toulouse’s recent attacking form and ability to score consistently provide them with a slight edge over Strasbourg. Their higher goal-scoring average and robust defense could prove decisive in overcoming Strasbourg’s strong defensive setup. A key factor to watch will be Toulouse's ability to break through Strasbourg’s defense, which has been impervious in recent fixtures.