Ligue 1 2024-2025: Strasbourg vs Nice Prediction
Strasbourg
Home Team
23%
VS
Nice
Away Team
59%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 |
| 2 | Marseille | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 52 |
| 3 | Monaco | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 50 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 49 |
| 5 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 48 |
| 6 | Nice | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 47 |
| 7 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 47 |
| 8 | Brest | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Lens | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Rennes | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Nantes | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 30 |
| 14 | Angers | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 27 |
| 16 | Reims | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | St Etienne | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 64 | -36 | 23 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 4 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
Nice
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.74
# Clean Sheets:
3
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.25
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Strasbourg and Nice is poised to be an intriguing encounter, with a strong prediction favoring Nice to secure victory, holding a 59.0% probability. Strasbourg's chances of a home triumph stand at 23.0%, while the likelihood of a draw is 17.0%. Additionally, the match is predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 61.0% probability. In the current Ligue 1 standings, Strasbourg holds the 4th position with 49 points, closely followed by Nice in 6th place with 47 points.
Match Analysis
Strasbourg enters this match on a high note, boasting a three-game winning streak. They recently claimed victories against Reims, Lyon, and Toulouse, showcasing a solid defensive front with a noteworthy three clean sheets in their last five outings. On average, Strasbourg has scored 2.0 goals and conceded 0.8 goals per game in their recent form, indicating their attacking prowess and defensive resilience. Their expected goals (xG) metrics suggest consistent performance, with 1.786 xG scored and 1.74 xG conceded, hinting at a balanced approach on both ends of the pitch.
In contrast, Nice has been struggling to find form, failing to secure a win in their last three encounters. They suffered losses against Nantes and Monaco, followed by a draw with Auxerre. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game in their last five matches, Nice's defense has been more porous, lacking clean sheets in recent appearances. Their expected goals data reveals a close alignment with actual performance, showing 1.728 xG scored and 1.25 xG conceded.
Final Prediction
Nice's higher win probability can be attributed to their offensive strength and recent performance metrics, despite their recent dip in form. As the match unfolds, a key factor to watch will be the defensive strategies employed by both teams, particularly how Strasbourg's defense handles Nice's attacking threats. This game promises to be an engaging battle, with both teams eager to climb the league table.