Ligue 1 2024-2025: Strasbourg vs Lyon Prediction

Strasbourg

Home Team
32%
VS

Lyon

Away Team
47%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 26 21 5 0 73 25 48 68
2 Marseille 26 15 4 7 53 33 20 49
3 Monaco 26 14 5 7 51 32 19 47
4 Nice 26 13 8 5 50 31 19 47
5 Lyon 26 13 6 7 50 33 17 45
6 Lille 26 12 8 6 40 28 12 44
7 Strasbourg 26 12 7 7 41 33 8 43
8 Lens 26 11 6 9 31 29 2 39
9 Brest 26 11 4 11 38 40 -2 37
10 Toulouse 26 9 7 10 33 29 4 34
11 Auxerre 26 8 8 10 37 39 -2 32
12 Rennes 26 9 2 15 35 37 -2 29
13 Nantes 26 6 9 11 29 43 -14 27
14 Angers 26 7 6 13 26 42 -16 27
15 Reims 26 5 8 13 26 40 -14 23
16 St Etienne 26 6 5 15 27 57 -30 23
17 Le Havre 26 6 3 17 26 55 -29 21
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 61 -40 15

Recent Trends

Strasbourg ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)

Lyon ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Le Havre (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Montpellier (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 4

Lyon

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

For the upcoming clash between Strasbourg and Lyon, the prediction favors Lyon with a 47.0% probability of securing a victory over Strasbourg's 32.0% chance. The likelihood of an over 2.5 goals result is at 58.0%, suggesting an open and potentially high-scoring encounter. In the current Ligue 1 standings, Lyon holds the 5th position with 45 points, while Strasbourg is closely trailing in 7th place with 43 points.

Match Analysis

Both teams are entering this match in good form, having secured victories in their last three fixtures. Strasbourg has shown resilience with wins against Toulouse, Nantes, and Auxerre, conceding only one goal across these matches and maintaining clean sheets in two. Their defensive solidity is underscored by the average of only 0.6 goals conceded over the past five games, while their attack has been efficient, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Lyon, on the other hand, has also demonstrated their attacking prowess with a recent win against Le Havre, and impressive performances against Nice and Brest. Their offensive efforts have resulted in an average of 2.0 goals per game over the last five outings. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are apparent, averaging 1.4 goals conceded per game, with just one clean sheet during the same period. The expected goals data suggests Lyon may not capitalize on all their chances, averaging lower expected goals than Strasbourg.

Final Prediction

Lyon's superior attacking form and standing in the league give them the edge in this matchup against Strasbourg. However, Strasbourg’s current defensive robustness could pose a challenge. A key factor to watch will be how well Lyon can break down Strasbourg's defense, which has been one of the tightest in recent matches. This battle between Lyon’s attack and Strasbourg’s defense will likely be decisive in determining the outcome.