Ligue 1 2024-2025: St Etienne vs Paris SG Prediction

St Etienne

Home Team
1%
VS

Paris SG

Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 26 21 5 0 73 25 48 68
2 Marseille 26 15 4 7 53 33 20 49
3 Monaco 26 14 5 7 51 32 19 47
4 Nice 26 13 8 5 50 31 19 47
5 Lyon 26 13 6 7 50 33 17 45
6 Lille 26 12 8 6 40 28 12 44
7 Strasbourg 26 12 7 7 41 33 8 43
8 Lens 26 11 6 9 31 29 2 39
9 Brest 26 11 4 11 38 40 -2 37
10 Toulouse 26 9 7 10 33 29 4 34
11 Auxerre 26 8 8 10 37 39 -2 32
12 Rennes 26 9 2 15 35 37 -2 29
13 Nantes 26 6 9 11 29 43 -14 27
14 Angers 26 7 6 13 26 42 -16 27
15 Reims 26 5 8 13 26 40 -14 23
16 St Etienne 26 6 5 15 27 57 -30 23
17 Le Havre 26 6 3 17 26 55 -29 21
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 61 -40 15

Recent Trends

St Etienne ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Angers (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 2)

Paris SG ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rennes (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

St Etienne

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.46
# Clean Sheets: 0

Paris SG

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between St Etienne and Paris SG appears heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. Paris SG boasts a commanding 98.0% probability of winning this encounter. With the teams positioned at the opposite ends of the standings—Paris SG leading the league and St Etienne languishing in 16th place—the predicted result is a clear win for Paris SG. The match is also expected to surpass the 2.5 goals mark, with a 63.0% probability of that outcome.

Match Analysis

Paris SG enters this match on a remarkable run, having secured three consecutive victories, including impressive wins against top teams like Marseille and Lille. Their attacking prowess is evident as they have scored an average of 3.0 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have limited their opponents to an average of 1.2 goals per game, showcasing their balanced approach. Key advanced metrics underscore Paris SG's dominance, with expected goals scored at 2.92 and expected goals conceded at 1.412 over the last five matches. In contrast, St Etienne has struggled significantly, with no wins in their last three games, including a loss against Nice and draws against lower-tier teams like Le Havre and Angers. Their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by the 2.0 goals conceded on average per match in their last five fixtures, coupled with no clean sheets. Offensively, they have managed an average of 1.6 goals per game, but their expected goals figures of 1.442 suggest they may find it difficult to break down Paris SG's defense.

Final Prediction

Paris SG's formidable form and comprehensive attacking and defensive metrics give them a clear edge over St Etienne. The disparity in quality between the league leaders and the struggling St Etienne makes Paris SG the strong favorite. Watch out for Paris SG's attacking trio, who have consistently delivered in recent matches, as they could be the key factor in securing another dominant victory.