Ligue 1 2024-2025: St Etienne vs Nice Prediction

St Etienne

Home Team
9%
VS

Nice

Away Team
81%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 23 18 5 0 62 22 40 59
2 Marseille 23 14 4 5 50 29 21 46
3 Nice 23 12 7 4 46 27 19 43
4 Lille 23 11 8 4 38 23 15 41
5 Monaco 23 12 4 7 45 31 14 40
6 Lyon 23 10 6 7 42 30 12 36
7 Strasbourg 23 9 7 7 37 32 5 34
8 Lens 23 9 6 8 26 25 1 33
9 Brest 23 10 3 10 35 38 -3 33
10 Toulouse 23 8 6 9 27 26 1 30
11 Auxerre 23 7 7 9 34 37 -3 28
12 Angers 23 7 6 10 26 34 -8 27
13 Rennes 23 8 2 13 30 32 -2 26
14 Nantes 23 5 9 9 28 40 -12 24
15 Reims 23 5 7 11 26 35 -9 22
16 St Etienne 23 5 4 14 23 53 -30 19
17 Le Havre 23 5 2 16 19 47 -28 17
18 Montpellier 23 4 3 16 21 54 -33 15

Recent Trends

St Etienne ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Angers (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 1)

Nice ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Le Havre (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

St Etienne

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.58
# Clean Sheets: 0

Nice

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between St Etienne and Nice is expected to lean heavily in favor of the visitors. With an 81% probability of Nice securing a victory, they are the clear favorites, positioned third in the Ligue 1 standings. The prediction also suggests a high chance of an entertaining match, with a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. St Etienne, who are currently languishing in 16th place, face a tough challenge at home.

Match Analysis

St Etienne's recent form has been less than stellar, with a draw against Angers and consecutive losses to Marseille and Rennes. Their defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding eight goals across these three fixtures. Offensive struggles are evident as well, scoring only four times. Advanced metrics highlight their defensive woes, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game and a high expected goals against of 2.576 in the last five matches. In stark contrast, Nice have been in impressive form, winning their last three matches against Montpellier, Le Havre, and Lens. Their solid defense has resulted in three clean sheets over the last five games, while their attack is thriving with an average of 2.2 goals per game. Nice's expected goals scored stands at 2.08, showcasing their offensive capability. The combination of a strong defense and potent attack makes Nice a formidable opponent.

Final Prediction

Nice's current form and superior metrics give them a clear edge over St Etienne. Their ability to both score frequently and maintain defensive solidity could prove decisive in this match. A key factor to watch will be Nice's attacking prowess, which is likely to challenge St Etienne's struggling defense throughout the match.