Ligue 1 2024-2025: St Etienne vs Brest Prediction

St Etienne

Home Team
16%
VS

Brest

Away Team
68%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 28 23 5 0 80 26 54 74
2 Marseille 28 16 4 8 57 38 19 52
3 Monaco 28 15 5 8 54 35 19 50
4 Strasbourg 28 14 7 7 46 35 11 49
5 Lyon 28 14 6 8 54 38 16 48
6 Nice 28 13 8 7 52 35 17 47
7 Lille 28 13 8 7 42 30 12 47
8 Brest 28 13 4 11 44 43 1 43
9 Lens 28 12 6 10 32 30 2 42
10 Auxerre 28 10 8 10 39 39 0 38
11 Toulouse 28 9 7 12 37 36 1 34
12 Rennes 28 10 2 16 38 38 0 32
13 Nantes 28 7 9 12 33 47 -14 30
14 Angers 28 7 6 15 26 46 -20 27
15 Le Havre 28 8 3 17 31 57 -26 27
16 Reims 28 6 8 14 29 42 -13 26
17 St Etienne 28 6 5 17 28 64 -36 23
18 Montpellier 28 4 3 21 21 64 -43 15

Recent Trends

St Etienne ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 6)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Angers (Goals: 3 - 3)

Brest ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Reims (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

St Etienne

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 3.00
# Clean Sheets: 0

Brest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between St Etienne and Brest is expected to favor the visiting team, Brest, with a significant 68.0% probability of winning. St Etienne, currently languishing at the 17th position in Ligue 1, faces a formidable task against 8th placed Brest. The game is also anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 55.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

St Etienne has been struggling with form recently, suffering two defeats and managing just one draw in their last three outings. Their inability to keep clean sheets and a high average of 3.0 goals conceded per match highlight their defensive frailties. Despite showing some attacking intent with an average of 1.06 expected goals in recent matches, their overall performance has been underwhelming, as reflected by their low position in the league standings. In contrast, Brest comes into this fixture with a commendable recent form, having secured two victories and a draw in their last three games. Their 2-1 win against Monaco and a convincing 4-2 victory over Toulouse demonstrate their attacking prowess. Brest's defense has also been relatively solid, conceding only 0.8 goals on average in their last five matches, while achieving two clean sheets. These metrics suggest a balanced and effective approach on both ends of the pitch.

Final Prediction

Brest's recent form and superior defensive record give them a clear edge over St Etienne in this matchup. The visitors' ability to score and keep things tight at the back could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be Brest's attack, which has shown the capability to exploit defensive weaknesses, especially given St Etienne's vulnerability at the back.