Ligue 1 2024-2025: St Etienne vs Angers Prediction

St Etienne

Home Team
20%
VS

Angers

Away Team
61%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 62%
Under 2.5: 38%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 22 17 5 0 59 20 39 56
2 Marseille 22 14 4 4 50 26 24 46
3 Nice 22 11 7 4 44 27 17 40
4 Monaco 22 12 4 6 44 29 15 40
5 Lille 22 10 8 4 36 22 14 38
6 Lyon 22 10 6 6 40 27 13 36
7 Strasbourg 22 9 6 7 37 32 5 33
8 Lens 22 9 6 7 25 22 3 33
9 Brest 22 10 2 10 35 38 -3 32
10 Toulouse 22 7 6 9 23 25 -2 27
11 Angers 22 7 5 10 23 31 -8 26
12 Auxerre 22 6 7 9 31 37 -6 25
13 Rennes 22 7 2 13 29 32 -3 23
14 Reims 22 5 7 10 26 34 -8 22
15 Nantes 22 4 9 9 25 39 -14 21
16 St Etienne 22 5 3 14 20 50 -30 18
17 Le Havre 22 5 2 15 18 43 -25 17
18 Montpellier 22 4 3 15 21 52 -31 15

Recent Trends

St Etienne ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 1)

Angers ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

St Etienne

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.11
# Clean Sheets: 0

Angers

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between St Etienne and Angers is predicted to lean in favor of Angers, with a 61.00% probability of an away victory. Meanwhile, St Etienne's chances of securing a home win stand at a modest 20.00%. Additionally, there is a high likelihood of a goal-rich game, with a 62.00% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. In terms of league standings, Angers sits in 11th position, while St Etienne struggles in 16th place, teetering close to the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

St Etienne heads into this match amidst a troubling spell, having suffered three consecutive defeats against Marseille, Rennes, and Lille, with a combined scoreline of 2-11. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings without securing any clean sheets. On the offensive front, St Etienne has been equally underwhelming, managing just 1.0 goals per match during this period. Conversely, Angers has shown slightly better form, with a recent win against Reims and a draw with Le Havre, punctuated by a loss to Marseille. Angers' defensive resilience is notable, with only 0.8 goals conceded on average in their last five games and achieving two clean sheets. Offensively, they are creating more opportunities than their rivals, boasting an average of 1.694 expected goals per game, which could be pivotal in breaking down St Etienne's vulnerable defense.

Final Prediction

Angers appears to have the upper hand in this encounter, bolstered by a more robust defensive record and superior attacking metrics. Their ability to capitalize on chances, as indicated by their expected goals, provides them a clear edge over a struggling St Etienne side. A key factor to watch in this match will be Angers' ability to exploit St Etienne's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.