Ligue 1 2024-2025: Rennes vs Reims Prediction

Rennes

Home Team
66%
VS

Reims

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 22 17 5 0 59 20 39 56
2 Marseille 22 14 4 4 50 26 24 46
3 Nice 22 11 7 4 44 27 17 40
4 Monaco 22 12 4 6 44 29 15 40
5 Lille 22 10 8 4 36 22 14 38
6 Lyon 22 10 6 6 40 27 13 36
7 Strasbourg 22 9 6 7 37 32 5 33
8 Lens 22 9 6 7 25 22 3 33
9 Brest 22 10 2 10 35 38 -3 32
10 Toulouse 22 7 6 9 23 25 -2 27
11 Angers 22 7 5 10 23 31 -8 26
12 Auxerre 22 6 7 9 31 37 -6 25
13 Rennes 22 7 2 13 29 32 -3 23
14 Reims 22 5 7 10 26 34 -8 22
15 Nantes 22 4 9 9 25 39 -14 21
16 St Etienne 22 5 3 14 20 50 -30 18
17 Le Havre 22 5 2 15 18 43 -25 17
18 Montpellier 22 4 3 15 21 52 -31 15

Recent Trends

Rennes ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs St Etienne (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 2)

Reims ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Rennes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 2

Reims

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.17
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Rennes and Reims is anticipated to be a favorable match for the home team, Rennes, with a 66% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match resulting in a draw stands at 18%, while Reims has a 16% chance of securing a victory. In terms of goal expectations, there's a 54% chance the match will see more than 2.5 goals. Currently, Rennes is positioned 13th in the Ligue 1 standings, while Reims follows closely behind in 14th place.

Match Analysis

Rennes has shown a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. After a home defeat to Lille (0-2), they bounced back with a couple of wins against St Etienne (2-0) and Strasbourg (1-0). These performances highlight their capability to secure clean sheets, having managed two in the last three games. Meanwhile, Reims has struggled in their recent fixtures, suffering three consecutive losses. Their most recent defeat came at the hands of Nantes (1-2), with prior heavy losses to Lyon (0-4) and a narrow home defeat to Angers (0-1). When looking at the advanced metrics, Rennes has averaged 1.0 goals scored per game in their last five meetings, with an average concession rate of 1.2 goals. Their expected goals metrics suggest potential for a slightly higher output, but they have been defensively solid, with two clean sheets in recent matches. On the other hand, Reims has also averaged 1.0 goals scored but conceded an average of 1.6 goals. Their defensive frailty is further emphasized by the absence of clean sheets in their last five games, coupled with a high expected goals conceded rate of 2.168.

Final Prediction

Rennes appears to have the upper hand in this matchup, largely due to their recent defensive resilience and ability to secure clean sheets. The significant edge comes from Reims' recent poor form and defensive struggles. Keep an eye on Rennes' ability to capitalize on Reims' defensive vulnerabilities, as this could be the decisive factor in the outcome of the match.