Ligue 1 2024-2025: Reims vs Marseille Prediction

Reims

Home Team
10%
VS

Marseille

Away Team
81%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 26 21 5 0 73 25 48 68
2 Marseille 26 15 4 7 53 33 20 49
3 Monaco 26 14 5 7 51 32 19 47
4 Nice 26 13 8 5 50 31 19 47
5 Lyon 26 13 6 7 50 33 17 45
6 Lille 26 12 8 6 40 28 12 44
7 Strasbourg 26 12 7 7 41 33 8 43
8 Lens 26 11 6 9 31 29 2 39
9 Brest 26 11 4 11 38 40 -2 37
10 Toulouse 26 9 7 10 33 29 4 34
11 Auxerre 26 8 8 10 37 39 -2 32
12 Rennes 26 9 2 15 35 37 -2 29
13 Nantes 26 6 9 11 29 43 -14 27
14 Angers 26 7 6 13 26 42 -16 27
15 Reims 26 5 8 13 26 40 -14 23
16 St Etienne 26 6 5 15 27 57 -30 23
17 Le Havre 26 6 3 17 26 55 -29 21
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 61 -40 15

Recent Trends

Reims ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)

Marseille ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs St Etienne (Goals: 5 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Reims

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.05
# Clean Sheets: 1

Marseille

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.77
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

As Reims prepare to host Marseille, the odds are heavily stacked in favor of the visitors. With an 81.0% probability of winning, Marseille is expected to come out on top against Reims, who have just a 10.0% chance of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 9.0%. Currently, Marseille sits comfortably in 2nd position in Ligue 1, whereas Reims finds themselves struggling at 15th. Furthermore, the game is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals with a 57.0% probability.

Match Analysis

Reims' recent form has been less than inspiring, managing to secure only one point from their last three games. They played out a goalless draw against Brest, but suffered defeats to Auxerre and Monaco without finding the back of the net. This highlights a worrying trend for Reims, as their average goals scored in the last five games is just 0.8, while they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game. Despite creating decent chances with an expected goals average of 1.462, their inability to convert these opportunities into actual goals remains a concern. On the other hand, Marseille's recent performances have been a mixed bag. They secured a clean sheet victory over Nantes but suffered defeats to heavyweights Paris SG and a narrow loss to Lens. Marseille's scoring average in the last five matches stands at 1.0 goals per game, and they have conceded 1.8 on average. However, with an expected goals figure of 1.686, they have shown the capacity to create scoring opportunities, which could prove crucial against a vulnerable Reims defense.

Final Prediction

Marseille's position near the top of the table and their superior attacking capabilities give them a significant edge in this matchup. The contrast in form between the two teams is stark, with Marseille showing potential for more goals while Reims struggles offensively. A key factor to watch will be Marseille's ability to capitalize on their chances, as this could determine the outcome of the game and help them maintain their push for a Champions League spot.