Ligue 1 2024-2025: Reims vs Auxerre Prediction

Reims

Home Team
39%
VS

Auxerre

Away Team
34%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 24 19 5 0 66 23 43 62
2 Marseille 24 15 4 5 52 29 23 49
3 Nice 24 13 7 4 49 28 21 46
4 Monaco 24 13 4 7 48 31 17 43
5 Lille 24 11 8 5 39 27 12 41
6 Lyon 24 11 6 7 44 31 13 39
7 Strasbourg 24 10 7 7 38 32 6 37
8 Toulouse 24 9 6 9 31 26 5 33
9 Lens 24 9 6 9 29 29 0 33
10 Brest 24 10 3 11 36 40 -4 33
11 Rennes 24 9 2 13 34 32 2 29
12 Auxerre 24 7 7 10 34 38 -4 28
13 Angers 24 7 6 11 26 38 -12 27
14 Nantes 24 5 9 10 28 42 -14 24
15 Reims 24 5 7 12 26 38 -12 22
16 Le Havre 24 6 2 16 23 50 -27 20
17 St Etienne 24 5 4 15 24 56 -32 19
18 Montpellier 24 4 3 17 21 58 -37 15

Recent Trends

Reims ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)

Auxerre ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Reims

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.94
# Clean Sheets: 0

Auxerre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.19
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Reims is predicted to emerge victorious with a 39.0% probability, while Auxerre holds a 34.0% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 27.0%. With a 52.0% chance of the match having over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an attacking contest. Currently, Reims is positioned 15th in the league standings, while Auxerre sits higher at 12th.

Match Analysis

Reims has been struggling in recent performances, suffering three consecutive defeats without scoring a goal. Their last outings include a 0-3 away loss to Monaco, a narrow 0-1 defeat at Rennes, and a 0-1 home loss against Angers. This poor run highlights their current offensive struggles, scoring an average of only 0.8 goals in their last five matches. Defensively, they've also been lacking, conceding an average of 1.6 goals and failing to register a clean sheet in five consecutive games. Auxerre's recent form shows a mix of results, including a noteworthy 3-0 victory against Marseille at home, a 2-2 away draw with Brest, and a 0-1 home loss to Strasbourg. With an average of 1.0 goals scored per game over the last five matches, Auxerre has demonstrated slightly more attacking prowess than Reims. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities at the back.

Final Prediction

Reims is predicted to have the edge in this matchup due to their home advantage and the slightly higher probability of winning. Although both teams have struggled defensively, Reims' need to recover from their poor form may give them the motivation to outperform. A key factor to watch will be whether Reims can break their goal drought and exploit Auxerre's defensive frailties to secure a much-needed victory.