Ligue 1 2024-2025: Paris SG vs Lille Prediction

Paris SG

Home Team
84%
VS

Lille

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 74%
Under 2.5: 26%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 23 18 5 0 62 22 40 59
2 Marseille 23 14 4 5 50 29 21 46
3 Nice 23 12 7 4 46 27 19 43
4 Lille 23 11 8 4 38 23 15 41
5 Monaco 23 12 4 7 45 31 14 40
6 Lyon 23 10 6 7 42 30 12 36
7 Strasbourg 23 9 7 7 37 32 5 34
8 Lens 23 9 6 8 26 25 1 33
9 Brest 23 10 3 10 35 38 -3 33
10 Toulouse 23 8 6 9 27 26 1 30
11 Auxerre 23 7 7 9 34 37 -3 28
12 Angers 23 7 6 10 26 34 -8 27
13 Rennes 23 8 2 13 30 32 -2 26
14 Nantes 23 5 9 9 28 40 -12 24
15 Reims 23 5 7 11 26 35 -9 22
16 St Etienne 23 5 4 14 23 53 -30 19
17 Le Havre 23 5 2 16 19 47 -28 17
18 Montpellier 23 4 3 16 21 54 -33 15

Recent Trends

Paris SG ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Monaco (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Brest (Goals: 5 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 1)

Lille ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs St Etienne (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Paris SG

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.78
# Clean Sheets: 1

Lille

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.94
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Paris SG and Lille is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with an 84% probability of victory for the Parisians. Paris SG, currently sitting comfortably atop the Ligue 1 table, is expected to continue their dominant run. The match is also anticipated to be a high-scoring affair, with a 74% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. Lille, positioned fourth in the standings, will face a formidable challenge as they travel to the league leaders.

Match Analysis

Paris SG's recent form has been nothing short of impressive, securing three consecutive wins. Their victories over Lyon, Toulouse, and Monaco highlight their offensive prowess, having scored a total of eight goals while conceding just three. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net is further evidenced by an average of 2.2 goals scored per match in their last five outings. Key metrics like their expected goals of 3.294 and a solid defense with only 0.784 expected goals conceded, underscore their dominance. On the other hand, Lille has shown resilience with a mixed bag of results in their last three games. A notable win against Monaco and a clean sheet victory over Rennes point to their potential, although a slip-up against struggling Le Havre may raise concerns. Lille's average goals scored in recent matches stand at 1.2, with an identical average of goals conceded. Despite a decent expected goals tally of 1.958, they might struggle to breach Paris SG's strong defense.

Final Prediction

Paris SG's superior form and advanced metrics give them a significant edge over Lille. Their relentless attack coupled with a sturdy defense makes them favorites in this encounter. The key factor to watch will be Paris SG's ability to capitalize on their expected goal opportunities, which could be the difference-maker as they aim to extend their lead at the top of the table.